Tim Evans
Tim Evans
average barrel build early further january likely mild million readings rise stocks tendency time toward
Stocks have a tendency toward a counter-seasonal rise in early January ... but the mild readings this time around make a further 2 to 3 million barrel build more likely than the 1.1 million barrel five-year average increase.
airline building chances companies denigrate easily far interested investors margin oil richard succeeding superior tend themselves
The oil companies themselves aren't interested in building new refineries and will tend to denigrate the chances of any new investors actually succeeding in their business. They'll say, 'What does Richard Branson know about oil refineries?' He doesn't have to know about that part of the business, but he can easily see that oil refiners are making a margin far superior to what he's making in the airline business.
appetite far holding insatiable
There is so far an insatiable appetite for holding more inventory. We're still not recognizing it as a glut.
came dramatic range surprises within
Everything pretty much came within the range of expectations so there were no dramatic surprises here.
buy clear consumer hybrids next offer park price steer table three trigger willing
To put that offer on the table for the next three months, it's clear to me that they're willing to steer the price lower, ... They really don't want every U.S. consumer to park their SUV and buy gasoline-electric hybrids -- they don't want to trigger that kind of consumer response.
advertising bob campaigns connect good great maureen modern past people relevant strongly
We wanted to connect with people as strongly as some of our great advertising campaigns of the past did -- such as with Beattie with Maureen Lipman or Bob Hoskins in 'It's good to talk' -- but in a way that's relevant to today's modern relationships.
demand early february forecast persist physical warm
Warm temperatures now forecast to persist on into early February undercut physical demand for heating fuels.
close fact holding market physical risk shortage
There is nothing close to a physical shortage going on here. Instead, what the market is holding here is a significant, and in fact growing, implied risk premium.
basically hit levels support
Basically we hit some support levels ... and if it can't go down, it's got to go up.
bell consider higher perhaps price ready rung
We've rung the bell at $600 and now we're perhaps ready to consolidate before we consider higher price levels.
climbing crude demand downward high level price reminder revision stocks trouble
The OPEC demand revision is more of a reminder than anything else. Between the high level of crude stocks and the downward revisions to demand, the price should have trouble climbing like it has done this week.
attractive becomes both commodity emerging focus general gold less lows markets near oil since surrogate
Really, we've had some focus (on oil) since mid-February, when both markets made a significant low, and both markets had a near retest of those lows on Wednesday. Oil is emerging as the focus for the gold market as a surrogate for general commodity inflation. Without that kind of commodity inflation, then gold becomes a less attractive investment.
cash move profits rush
Really, it's just a rush to cash in profits on what was really a spectacular move higher.
data expect fit model neat ought report surprising
It is a surprising report in just about all respects. But I think it is something that we have to expect in times like these that the data doesn't always fit into a neat little model of what we think ought to be happening.