Tim Evans
Tim Evans
climbing crude demand downward high level price reminder revision stocks trouble
The OPEC demand revision is more of a reminder than anything else. Between the high level of crude stocks and the downward revisions to demand, the price should have trouble climbing like it has done this week.
balance chopping looking market opportunity price relaxed storm updates
There still may be ample opportunity for price chopping off storm updates over the balance of the week, but the market is looking considerably more relaxed today.
despite drawn extent last limiting market might page positions prices profit pushing short storage taking warmer week
The natural-gas market is on a completely different page now, with profit taking on short positions pushing prices higher, despite what are still impressively bearish prospects. This week will be warmer than last week, limiting the extent to which storage might be drawn down.
buy clear consumer hybrids next offer park price steer table three trigger willing
To put that offer on the table for the next three months, it's clear to me that they're willing to steer the price lower, ... They really don't want every U.S. consumer to park their SUV and buy gasoline-electric hybrids -- they don't want to trigger that kind of consumer response.
both bush higher longer oil prices quo results short somewhat status term
A Bush status quo results in somewhat higher oil prices both in the short and the longer term in my view,
boost extent failed late outlook potential prices remains season suggest support weather
The weather outlook remains a potential fundamental support for these markets, but it has been so well advertised and has failed to boost prices to such an extent as to suggest that it is still too little winter, too late in the season to matter.
build bulls case drop fight hurt month past price stocks trying
The bulls are trying to put up a fight here, trying to make a case that the build in stocks and the drop in price over the past month haven't really hurt all that bad.
bell consider higher perhaps price ready rung
We've rung the bell at $600 and now we're perhaps ready to consolidate before we consider higher price levels.
build gasoline last price seeing several weakness
The gasoline build is substantial and it confirms the price weakness we've been seeing over the last several days.
apply call economics economy-and-economics filled forth higher laws prices supply view
The laws of economics still apply and higher prices call forth more supply while dampening demand. The long view of the market's history, filled with booms and busts, is on our side.
attractive becomes both commodity emerging focus general gold less lows markets near oil since surrogate
Really, we've had some focus (on oil) since mid-February, when both markets made a significant low, and both markets had a near retest of those lows on Wednesday. Oil is emerging as the focus for the gold market as a surrogate for general commodity inflation. Without that kind of commodity inflation, then gold becomes a less attractive investment.
cash move profits rush
Really, it's just a rush to cash in profits on what was really a spectacular move higher.
data expect fit model neat ought report surprising
It is a surprising report in just about all respects. But I think it is something that we have to expect in times like these that the data doesn't always fit into a neat little model of what we think ought to be happening.
attempting clear crude market move oil
It is pretty clear they were attempting to move this oil into a crude oil market where there was already a surplus.