Thomas Schelling
Thomas Schelling
Thomas Crombie Schellingis an American economist and professor of foreign policy, national security, nuclear strategy, and arms control at the School of Public Policy at University of Maryland, College Park. He is also co-faculty at the New England Complex Systems Institute. He was awarded the 2005 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciencesfor "having enhanced our understanding of conflict and cooperation through game-theory analysis"...
becomes current distance distant exhaustion fleeting mile pick picked places reach resolve rule runners spoken stopping time
I have spoken to distance runners who, as exhaustion approaches, pick their stopping places a mile in advance, with the rule that any place more distant can be picked at any time before they reach the current target, and once picked even by the most fleeting resolve it becomes controlling.
side sorry whose
I think I know whose side I'm on, and I'm sorry for him.
answer attack capture divisions explicitly guarantee question seven soviet stop war
The question was asked, 'What can seven divisions do to stop a Soviet attack? ... And the answer very explicitly was: They can guarantee that if the Soviets attack and kill or capture 300,000 Americans, the war won't end there.
conflict major simple
Then, the major conflict was a very simple conflict.
deterred small unusual
It will be unusual to be deterred by small countries,
audience century credited finish front further nuclear stood using
To go 60 years without any further use of nuclear weapons, I find astonishing. If I would have stood in front of an audience like this in 1960 and said we would finish the century without using nuclear weapons, no one would have credited me whatsoever.
dealing
This permeates life, ... I find it important in dealing with children, dealing with spouses, dealing with neighbors, dealing with customers.
ban carefully chewing cigarettes easier flexible graduated gum limit nuclear weapons zero
Just as it may be easier to ban nuclear weapons from the battlefield in toto than through carefully graduated specifications on their use, zero is a more enforceable limit on cigarettes or chewing gum than some flexible quantitative ration.
close contact either field scientists social themselves
Social scientists have to either go out into the field themselves or be in very close contact with those in the field.
certain frontier social
the mathematical frontier of a certain kind of social theory.
mistake believe thinking
I do think it's often a mistake to call them climate skeptics. I think they're deniers, just as I think president Ahmadinejad of iran who claims not to believe that the Holocaust occurred.
years people wish
I sometimes wish we could have, over the next five or ten years, a lot of horrid things happening-you know, like tornadoes in the Midwest and so forth-that would get people very concerned about climate change.
kyoto-protocol giving house
Nobody is going to give away the farm in Kyoto. It is not anybody's to give away. And even if the United States Senate would actually ratify a bad treaty, anything called for under the treaty would require legislation passed through both houses.
nuclear unions today
When I used to theorize about a nuclear standoff, I didn't really have to understand what was happening inside the Soviet Union. It is a lot harder now to build a theory that can encompass all the complications of today's conflicts.