Shripad Tuljapurkar
Shripad Tuljapurkar
billion bit china countries global happens increases nobody original population projection seems situations studied took total
We studied different countries around the world that are representative of different situations and took a look at where they'd end up. One thing that happens right away, which nobody seems to have thought of, is that the total global population increases dramatically. From an original projection of 8 billion we end up topping out at 10 to 11 billion. In many countries, this would have an enormous, and not necessarily positive, impact. For example, the idea that China would go from 1.5 to 1.8 billion, just because of this, is a bit frightening.
countries debate economy huge increase italy order people population sweden telling
Countries like Sweden and Italy have been having this huge debate for many years over population decline. A lot of the debate is about immigration: People have been telling them they need to increase immigration in order to keep the economy going.
increase starting
We've come up with a scenario: Starting around 2010, we could see lifespan increase dramatically.
age age-and-aging people retire somewhere
What you would need to do is have people retire somewhere between age 75 and 85.
believe brink current deal equipped extend human moment people round
Some people believe we are on the brink of being able to extend human lifespan significantly, because we've got most of the technologies we need to do it. People are going to do things they didn't get round to in their working lives. Current institutions are really not equipped at the moment to deal with such long lives.
problem thinking today
I have no problem thinking the 60-year-old today should be like the 50-year-old and even a 40-year-old.
extra
You've got an extra 20 or 30 years coming, the money's got to come from somewhere.