Ron Hill
Ron Hill
Ronald "Ron" Hill MBEis an English runner and clothing entrepreneur. He was the second man to break 2:10 in the marathon; he set world records at four other distances, but never laid claim to the marathon world record. He has run two Olympic Marathons, and has a personal marathon record of 2:09:28. In 1970, Hill won the 74th Boston Marathon in a course record 2:10:30. He also won gold medals for the marathon at the European Championships in 1969 and...
ProfessionRunner
Date of Birth25 September 1938
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This is a time when you really start to favor industrial conglomerates overall, so if news would turn on GE and Tyco International, that could even be interesting because they're all out there in the same group. But right now 3M actually has the best fundamentals and so that's why we highlight that one,
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They're on the right track for subscriber growth, ... But more importantly, they're starting to focus now on getting more money out of each subscriber. So one of the tricky things will be to get people to stop focusing purely on subscriber growth and start thinking more about revenue per subscriber. They've got their own sort of gathering area for shopping for e-commerce, for Christmas time. Remember e-commerce season starts now with back-to-school and peaks with Christmas. This is going to be a time of a lot of excitement in the Internet space and we think AOL is well positioned to take advantage of that.
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I think next year is going to be a reasonably good year. When the Fed starts lowering rates, even though profit growth will be really poor, often some of the best gains in stocks come when earnings are doing poorly, because you're getting a lift from price-to-earnings ratios rising.
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We've been raising rates in this country since about June of last year, so we've had over a year's worth of rate increases starting to flow into the market. That has slowly, but surely, drained liquidity out of the overall financial system in America. So money supply growth has been below nominal GDP growth now for a number of months. So what's happening is slowly, but surely, there's just not enough money out there available to make everything go up all at the same time. So that's why rallies fail sooner than you expect, and why you know people get punished more for bad news than they get rewarded for good news,
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Look (at) metals prices. As we rebuild inventories, as the whole industry economy starts to gear up, these guys (Freeport does) well. As the global economy starts to gears up, they also do well because they have a significant portion of sales overseas,
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I think these companies (are) starting to get more interested in mainframes and security again, and for one-stop shopping, Computer Associates offers a little bit of all these things in one place, ... So, I think the earnings movement is just now coming back to this company.
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The bank stocks are affected by what the Fed does. If the Fed's going to be pushing rates up aggressively, it's going to hard for bank stocks to significantly do better than the market, ... But I think some of the stocks are cheap enough that they're worth at least nibbling on at this point.
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That has a lot of implications for tech stocks, ... Maybe we've seen the highs and lows of the year.
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They've had a little bit of a workout today. We've been here every year, and we'll be here again next year.
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I met with them in June, and they said that out of 1,000 unsolicited, unagented scripts they look at each year, they publish maybe 10.
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Take a look at Philip Morris ( MO ), ... I think this stock is going to survive pretty nicely.
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That's another thing that helps these companies do well in this time period,
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The key thing here is, we're sort of short on liquidity, so we don't have enough money to raise everything. Investors have to focus on good sectors with leading stocks especially with good earnings revision profiles, and where there's support for rising profit and expectations going forward,
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They'll continue to see money flow go in and drive prices higher,