Robert Robbins
Robert Robbins
Robert D. "Bob" Robbins is a Republican member of the Pennsylvania State Senate, representing the 50th District since 1990. He previously served as a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives for the 17th District from 1983 to 1990...
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Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bowl rate-of-gain, which tend to average 16 percent during the last 18 years, compound annual growth of the S&P 500, 16 percent a year. We've had zero so far and the outlook is improving very, very significantly for the worst worry that people have had. And that is the Fed rate-hiking. It really looks like the probability is increasing dramatically that the Fed rate hikes are over and inflation pressure is in check. And as that continues to happen through year-end, we can get a fantastic rally, 15 to 20 percent on the S&P 500 in three months.
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Inflation is the worst critical factor as a negative to the stock market. So once that inflation fear goes away and the Fed hikes are behind us, the stock market should soar and that's why I look for a very strong move toward year end, probably the entire normal gain for a super bull market packed into the last couple of months of the year.
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The Fed rarely surprises the markets, and the consensus of private economists is clearly that the Fed will not do much. We really had slowing data on the economy and slowing inflation pressure. And I'm hopeful that this is close to the end of the Fed rate hikes,
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There's a 50 percent chance the Fed is finished and (June's job number) puts the odds up a notch.
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I suggest the small investors dig in their heels with this market, not worry too much. The Fed really didn't cause a significant inflation problem. So far, this inflation pressure has been no worse than the worst it's been in the last several years. And each time it's been a great buying opportunity. Any time you can buy the S&P 500, the stock market index of the top 500 stocks, when its 7 to 11 percent off the all-time high, it's probably 2 to 1 odds. Given the history of super bull markets that we've had for 18 years in the two other of the century, that's going to be a fabulous buying opportunity. And if it's not, than you're probably half way down to the ultimate low and that's going to be an even more fabulous buying opportunity.
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We're in a super bull market and it's continuing to happen,
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Markets are down because of the start of attacks and the fear of counter attacks, which could impact further corporate earnings.
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I'm still super-bullish. I think the market's in a summer rally, about half along, towards all time highs. I expect minor all-time highs. No change in that view.
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I think bonds are appropriate for anybody that is close to retirement or is already retired and feels like they need that security and that defensiveness, ... appropriate diversification for a lot of people. But for people who are young and who can put money away for a long time, they really ought to be overwhelmingly in stocks.
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It's held up well against the difficulties of some of the other airlines with some of the fare congestion and the problems with oil prices having been high over the last few months,
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It will just be a natural edge for some of the more sophisticated and capable investors to do that, ... I think it's also fighting the competition a little, too. There have been a lot of upstarts that have grown very rapidly and the big firms are going to want to participate in that, too.
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It's in a very strong subgroup and a strong fundamental story. Semiconductors, in general have been stronger here recently.
general strong stronger
It's in a very strong subgroup and a strong fundamental story, ... Semiconductors, in general have been stronger here recently.
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It's an appropriate example of the new corporate governance since the stock has languished for so long.