Peter Beck
Peter Beck
act attention continues goes korea missile north nuclear saying squeeze time waiting washington
As time goes on, I am expecting, I am waiting for North Korea to act in a provocative manner, to lash out verbally, potentially even with a missile or even a nuclear test. Especially as Washington continues to try to squeeze them, and they are going to look for a way to get the world's attention by saying or doing something that is provocative.
certainly concerned further korean lean north policy washington
Washington is certainly concerned that Seoul's North Korean policy will lean further to the left.
beijing far greater korean north places priority problem regime remaining stability survival
The problem is that Beijing places far greater priority on North Korean stability and regime survival than on the peninsula remaining nuclear-free.
accepted agreed disagree korea member north parties time
The two parties agreed to disagree and papered over the differences. It will take a long time before North Korea will be accepted as a responsible member of the international community, at least 2 years.
bring help korea north serious sure ultimately visit
I think the visit will ultimately help them bring North Korea back to the table, but I'm not sure Pyongyang is serious about negotiating.
closely korea washington watches
Any American who watches Korea in Washington will watch closely how it will unfold.
agree avoiding crisis engagement flash goal korea meaningful needed north parties perhaps point
For now, perhaps the only goal all parties can agree on is avoiding a crisis, but more meaningful engagement is needed if, in the long run, North Korea is not to loom as a flash point in Sino-U.S. relations.
inherently likely nature reforms sweeping
The very nature of sweeping reforms would be inherently destabilizing to the regime. So it's more likely they would be halting reforms.
agreement exactly grow hawks people reduce risk status urgency warned washington
The risk of this agreement is exactly what many hawks in Washington had warned about. You reduce the sense of urgency and let people grow comfortable with the status quo.
appear eager enjoying seem status
Presently, they don't seem eager to find a solution. Rather, they appear to be enjoying the status quo.
activities bad banking beijing china immune north outside pressures rein remaining shut though unlikely
Even though the crackdown on North Korea's illicit banking activities in Macau demonstrated that China is not completely immune to outside pressures to rein in bad behavior, Beijing is unlikely to shut down the North's remaining banking activities.
double held india north standard
I think most of the world can live with that India is held to a double standard with North Korea.
given limited options policy
Given the limited policy options they have, they don't have much of an alternative to talking.
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