Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
biggest blow consumers crushing decline employment factor growth job october report rise sharp shows single
If, as expected, the October employment report shows a sharp rise in unemployment and a sharp decline in job growth, it could be a crushing blow to confidence. Having a job is probably the single biggest factor in consumers having confidence.
again avoiding continue economy economy-and-economics fed grow improving less likely move reports retail sales seem strong suggest
Strong but moderating retail sales and improving productivity suggest an economy that should continue to grow while avoiding overheating, ... The reports would seem to make it less likely that the Fed will need to move again this year.
consumers deter ease fears fed market rates report several showing signs tame
The report isn't so tame as to deter the Fed from bumping rates another notch, especially with Y2K fears dissipating and consumers showing no signs of fatigue. However, it should ease market fears that the Fed will need to tighten several more times.
arm economy employment eyes fed few figures giving next past push quite report seen shift shot suggest weeks
All eyes will now shift to next week's employment report. The figures we've seen over the past few weeks suggest it will be quite weak. The report may be enough to push the Fed into giving the economy another shot in the arm at their next meeting.
check crow cycle despite eating energy fears fed good hawks inflation labor markets prices rate report rising strong surprised tight
Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI. So the worst may be over.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI, ... So the worst may be over.
alert fed future high numbers though
Even though the numbers are soothing, the Fed still is on high alert for a future flare-up in prices,
easing fed leave policies possibly recent reverse slowing start tight trend wanting
Continuation of a slowing trend is likely, and it could put the Fed in a pretty tight spot, because it could leave it wanting to possibly reverse its recent policies and start easing rates.
along begin business consumers continue economy falter few fuel gear higher later next shift spending sustain worry
Consumers will continue to spend, and that will keep the economy chugging along for the next few months. But without some help, I worry that consumers could begin to falter later in the year. We need more business spending to fuel the economy's shift into a higher gear and sustain the recovery.
albeit continued drowning economy january kept leading
Consumers, who have kept the economy from drowning during this recession, continued to spend, albeit cautiously, in January and may be leading the way to recovery.
anytime canyon expectation gap reasonable trade
The trade gap is a canyon and I see no reasonable expectation of it narrowing anytime soon.
building dismiss figures growing pace pressures prices prove remains risks sudden trend
The trend is now clear. Inflationary pressures are building and prices are rising; only the pace remains at issue. September's figures may prove to be just a spike, but we can't dismiss the growing risks of a sudden acceleration in inflation.
ancient certainly economy emerging federal figures inflation last might reflect reserve rising simply six suggest terms worrying
Today's figures simply reflect an economy still emerging from a recession; there's certainly nothing here to suggest inflation rising from the ashes. In terms of impact, it might as well be ancient history, especially now. The Federal Reserve is back to worrying about where inflation will be in six months, not where it was last month.