Lynn Reaser
Lynn Reaser
change deployed expect fed funds increase rate recent tactics target
We expect the 12th consecutive increase in the target fed funds rate and really no change in the tactics deployed in recent meetings.
fed interest keeping knock notion options path stop suggesting trying
He is keeping his options open, but he also is suggesting that we may not see a straight-line path for interest rates. I think he is trying to knock down the notion that the Fed could come to a stop and that the story will end there.
additional breathed collective fears federal hikes mounting pressures rate relief reserve sigh street suddenly wall week
Wall Street breathed a collective sigh of relief this week as fears of mounting inflationary pressures and additional rate hikes by the Federal Reserve suddenly evaporated.
although check economy energy fed growth inflation likely rising risks solid suggest underlying upside
The Fed is likely to acknowledge some dampening in growth from rising energy costs. But it will suggest the underlying economy is solid and although inflation has been in check recently, there are upside risks going forward,
address best cannot directly economy federal footing low reserve situation sound supply support
The Federal Reserve cannot address directly supply disruptions and really the best support they can give in this situation is to keep the economy on a sound footing with low inflation.
concerns corporate federal further interest performance profit raise rates reflected reserve start street wall week
The cacophony on Wall Street this week reflected concerns that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates further and that corporate profit performance could start to dissipate.
allow economy growth news next positive recession stimulus track
We don't think we are going to have another recession ... We think there is enough stimulus in the pipeline, enough positive news in there to allow the economy to keep on a growth track for the next year.
benign economy-and-economics inflation mode number shows
This number shows that inflation is in a benign mode for the U.S. economy.
close peak
We could very much be close to the peak at this time.
adding companies expansion general imports petroleum rebuilding strength
On the import side, the strength is from a rebuilding of inventories from companies and a general expansion of the U.S. economy. Petroleum imports increased, adding to the import bills.
believe light
But we do believe there is a light at the end of the tunnel.
actively businesses confidence hiring point
Businesses are regaining confidence to the point where they are now actively hiring new workers.
basically benign economic growth optimal present solid
We have basically an optimal present economic situation, with solid growth and benign inflation.
biting confidence consumer consumers decline large nails remains retailers seen vote whether
Retailers are biting their nails because of the large decline in consumer confidence. But it remains to be seen whether consumers will vote with their feet.