Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila is a weather forecaster with the National Hurricane Center. He has been a senior hurricane specialist there since 1987 and is the longest-tenured senior specialist...
cannot expecting few last speculate system
We have been expecting this system to weaken for the last few days, but the system has not weakened. I cannot speculate about it because we don't know why.
affect land
We don't think it's going to affect land.
believe drop expected mind nobody
First of all, I could not believe it, ... Nobody in their right mind would have expected this drop in pressure.
forecast hurricane next within
Ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane within the next 12 hours.
days system
We were monitoring that system for days and days and days,
happened middle wish
Let's put it this way, ... I wish it could have happened in the middle of the ocean.
dangerous track typical
We always thought it could be a dangerous hurricane, ... is the typical track for October.
adding fire fuel
It's like adding high-octane fuel to a fire.
best bottom cases coasts five florida forecast georgia likely line next northern option southeast
The best option in these cases ... is to forecast little motion. The bottom line is that Ophelia will likely meander just off the northern Florida and southeast Georgia coasts for the next five days.
open stay
It should stay out in the open Atlantic.
clear explain reasons recent
There are no clear reasons and I am not going to make one up to explain the recent strengthening of Epsilon.
cat ready
That?s why we tell you, if it's a Cat 2, get ready for a Cat 3.
environment favorable
There must be some favorable environment, but we're not able to see what it is.
correspond hurricane strength system value
Normally, this value would correspond to a system of hurricane strength.