Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila is a weather forecaster with the National Hurricane Center. He has been a senior hurricane specialist there since 1987 and is the longest-tenured senior specialist...
adding fire fuel
It's like adding high-octane fuel to a fire.
dangerous track typical
We always thought it could be a dangerous hurricane, ... is the typical track for October.
affect land
We don't think it's going to affect land.
cannot expecting few last speculate system
We have been expecting this system to weaken for the last few days, but the system has not weakened. I cannot speculate about it because we don't know why.
happened middle wish
Let's put it this way, ... I wish it could have happened in the middle of the ocean.
clear explain reasons recent
There are no clear reasons and I am not going to make one up to explain the recent strengthening of Epsilon.
We can get torrential rainfall from this system.
days system
We were monitoring that system for days and days and days,
closely few florida interests monitor next northern progress
Interests from northern Florida through the Carolinas should closely monitor the progress of Ophelia during the next few days,
die hope wrong
I hope we're wrong and (Zeta) will die sooner.
hope
I hope there will be no more surprises.
disaster eye large powerful scenario wherever
This is a very large hurricane, a very powerful hurricane. Wherever you have the eye of this system, you are going to have a potentially catastrophic disaster there. This is the worst-case scenario for a hurricane.
closer computer earlier farther last model models reliable runs storm tracking west
The last suite of model runs we had today, most of the reliable computer models all have the storm tracking farther west than the earlier runs and have the track closer to New Orleans.
improved intensity
If you go back to the '70s, we have not improved very much in intensity forecasts.