Larry Wachtel
Larry Wachtel
Larry Wachtelwas a stock, bonds, and equities commentator on the New York City metropolitan area radio. He added a populist flavor to his commentary on the stock market and spoke in a thick Brooklyn accent...
bring economic federal figures inflation job pace rash signs slowing street week
The abbreviated week will bring with it a rash of economic numbers, culminating in the May job figures on Friday. The Street would like to see some signs of a slowing economic pace so as to assuage the inflation junkies on the Federal Reserve.
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We have good earnings today, but there's just too much good economic news. We're increasing the likelihood of a rate hike in June. The data are coming in stronger than expected, so the Street is expecting another hike. The better the news, the more likely the Fed will tighten. It's a strange phenomenon that good news can be bad news.
decision move street
It was a respectable day. But after the (Fed) decision tomorrow, I think we can do better. I think the Street is braced for a no-rate-cut, no-rate-hike move from the Fed.
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These surveys give regional snapshots, and that's all they do. I'd never even heard of the Empire State survey until recently -- and I don't think you can build the case that Wall Street sits there panting, waiting for the results.
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This is all promulgated by overseas markets. We started with the festering Asian situation, Russia then spilled over into Latin America, and Wall Street has trouble dealing with all these overseas situations.
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We're going through this pre-announcement period where all the gloom and all the doom and all the negative statements are being made.
last selling snap week
The selling last week was so extreme, there had to be a snap back.
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Even if Bush were to win, there's no mandate to do any radical legislation.
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Earnings statements will make or break the market this week. I'll be watching the reports coming from some of the technology names, because I think that sector may lead the way this year.
inventory suffering tech time work
Tech is suffering from one big inventory overhang. It's going to take a long time to work through that.
continues good licked oil reaction
Everything continues to revolve around oil after we got licked pretty good yesterday. Everything is a knee-jerk reaction now.
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Attention will be focused on the statement that follows the 2:15 p.m. ET rate announcement, as it will give us a better indication on the Fed's future course of action. Noteworthy is that the tendency has been for the market to rally ahead of the Fed meeting and to sell-on-the-news after the announcement, ... While the market is advancing, it is on light volume due to this being a Monday in the slow month of August in front of tomorrow's economic policy uncertainty.
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At this point, the task of the component suppliers is to find enough chips to meet the demand, ... But there's always the psychological turning point as to when you begin to slow the demand down. I think that's the problem. I think it's been overdone, and I think the chip stocks are very good buys here.
chemical chemicals cyclical giving helping morgan stanley stocks
Cyclical stocks are helping the Dow today. Morgan Stanley upgraded some chemical stocks and that's giving cyclical stocks -- paper, chemicals -- a boost.