Kevin Norrish
Kevin Norrish
acceptable available coming crude further lower market members oil plenty present prices stage support tests
With plenty of crude oil available to the market at present and some OPEC members signaling that lower oil prices may be acceptable to the group, the stage may well be set for further tests of support over the coming weeks.
across basis builds expecting looks market people potential product reaction strength
People were expecting builds across the board. On that basis the market reaction that we have had is not surprising...It looks like product strength has the potential to return.
fairly markets production
Markets have already priced in a fairly sizeable production cut.
couple cut days later less market past perceived price production reacting strength weakness
Paradoxically, the price strength of the past couple of days makes a production cut ... less likely, ... If OPEC does cut production it will be reacting to perceived weakness in market fundamentals later on this year.
focus inventory market move upwards
If it weren't for the market's focus on short-term inventory data, the market would be a lot higher. We're retracing, even if the move upwards was not as big as it could have been.
extremely focused gasoline markets product remain weak weakness
US product markets remain extremely weak at present, with most of that weakness focused in gasoline markets.
benign chances coming iranian issue market matter months nuclear recent sharp time
It's only a matter of time before geopolitical developments give the market another sharp tug. The chances of a benign settlement in coming months over the Iranian nuclear issue have receded in recent weeks.
concern crude disruption few market output potential stretched system tightly
There's still going to be concern about potential hurricanes in the market for a few months. Crude output and refining are so tightly stretched that you don't need a big disruption to put the system under a lot of pressure.
course currently expected fallen figures inventory iranian keeping market meeting oil potential prices release since situation wednesday worse
Oil prices have fallen since the release of worse than expected US oil inventory figures on Wednesday but the potential for the Iranian situation to worsen during the course of the IAEA meeting currently underway is keeping oil market participants wary.
attacks dominated markets oil remains sentiment
Oil markets sentiment remains dominated by the escalation of attacks in Nigeria.
appears attention both buying catalyst cold drawing forecast fuel higher interest likelihood markets move release sides weather winter
The catalyst for the move higher appears to have been the release of a weather forecast drawing attention to the likelihood of another cold winter, prompting a surge of buying interest in winter fuel markets on both sides of the Atlantic.
above chaos continue expect floor further issue major nigeria potential prices provide supply terms
We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60, and we expect that Nigeria will continue to be a major issue in terms of supply security.
crude move prices summer supports view
This supports our view that crude prices will soften as we move through the summer months.
continues energy factor key price short term weather
Weather continues to be the key short term factor determining energy price direction.