Keating Holland

Keating Holland
approval autumn election good gop point predictor rating turn
The GOP would point out -- and they would be right -- that the approval rating in the autumn before an election is not a good predictor of how the election will turn out,
arguably watch
Many Americans did not watch the speech. Those who did were 2-to-1 Republican, so most were arguably already in the president's camp.
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The American public really starts to dislike a president after six, seven, eight years. They want change, they know they're not going to get it from the incumbent, and they suspect that the incumbent's sidekick is also not going to bring it about,
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The real question for Clark is whether he can sustain his significant lead once the hoopla over his entry into the race has died down.
debate helped less obvious
It's obvious that the debate helped Kerry. What's less obvious is how.
almost face ground happened people persian possible thinking troops
It's possible that some people are thinking that the ground troops will face almost no casualties, as happened in the Persian Gulf,
affect difficult general poll results speech
It's difficult to tell from these poll results how the speech will affect general U.S. public,
al bring bush change clearly considered exactly facing father gore people polls problems strong
The polls showed very clearly that Bush the father had exactly the same problems in 1987 that Al Gore is facing today, ... He wasn't considered inspiring, people didn't think he could bring about change and he wasn't thought of as a strong leader.
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Americans may rally around a president when he sends troops to war but not when he sends them the bill.
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So the pressure is on Kerry to meet expectations. And let's not forget the good news for the White House in this poll: Bush is still seen as a stronger leader who would better deal with Iraq and terrorism,
bush early people president start thinking vice win
I think that's one of the things that made people start thinking differently about Vice President Bush in early 1988, where they started to see him come out on his own, become his own man, win a few,
flavor fresh simply
Part of it is his resume, part of it is his announcement bounce, part of it may simply be that he's a fresh face. He is, after all, the flavor of the month.
ground support troops
The tripwire for the administration may be as they see support for ground troops growing, that may be only ground troops with no casualties,
almost pick public reacting
In many respects, the public is reacting to the Edwards pick in almost the same way that they reacted to his rival, Dick Cheney, in 2000.