Julie Gerberding
Julie Gerberding
Julie Louise Gerberding, M.D., M.P.H., is an American infectious disease expert and the former director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Preventionand administrator of the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry...
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We expect more cases - definitely. We really can't predict at this point of time where the virus will go next.
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We are very focused on the potential for and outbreak of pandemic influenza. We are looking back to the 1918 pandemic virus as a natural resource to help us understand and predict what we are dealing with.
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We're watching the situation with the avian flu very carefully, taking the steps that need to be taken now to help prepare and, most importantly, detect the transfer of that virus into people, ... But it is a very worrisome situation.
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With the Food and Drug Administration we are prepared to manage any food- or water-borne disease. Over the next days to weeks we could see the emergence of mosquito populations and West Nile virus ,
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We do have disease detectives who are working to study some features of the outbreak so we can learn as the virus spreads from community to community.
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As an infectious disease expert, I've never seen a pathogen emerge and go away on its own, ... We have to expect that sometime, somewhere, this virus is going to rear its ugly head again.
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Looking back to the 1918 pandemic virus is a natural source for us to try to understand and predict what we might be working with today in the context of H5 or some other pandemic.
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By unmasking the 1918 virus we are revealing some of the secrets that will help us predict and prepare for the next pandemic.
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We are cautiously optimistic that at least in some parts of the country, influenza may have peaked. But there's still plenty of flu out there, and we're still encouraging people with flu-like illness who meet the criteria for concerns or complications to be sure and seek medical attention if they do develop the illness.
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We certainly learned last year that there are always some uncertainties in dealing with influenza.
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We're very early in the flu season this year. We're seeing very sporadic activity in seven states, and one state with local activity, but it's way at the very early stages. So it's difficult to predict how severe the season will be, when it will take off, and when it will peak, and what ultimately the spectrum of impact will be,
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It would be unusual for measles or rubella or the other childhood-vaccine-preventable diseases to emerge, but many of the people in these shelters are among the people in our country who already experience health disparities, and we're erring on the side of immunizing anyone for whom we have any reason to suspect their vaccination status is not up-to-date.
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These data indicate that the magnitude of the problem is larger than we once thought,
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The specter of pandemic influenza is very frightening to people, ... It does remind people of the importance of influenza as an illness ... and in the long run may result in people being motivated.