Jim Ritterbusch

Jim Ritterbusch
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Crude supply is no longer an issue. We have plenty of it. However, that crude number is being countered to some extent by the large decline in gasoline stocks.
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But they do provide evidence that the oil infrastructure can bounce back pretty quickly after a really bad storm. These gasoline numbers give a cushion.
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This report is completely overshadowed by the storm. We did see a draw in gasoline stocks, and even though it's slight it isn't what this market needed,
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It's easy to analyze this one because there is only one number to talk about. That gasoline build was just huge again.
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The problem with sufficient refinery capacity to produce gasoline still presents an issue, at least within the US.
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A source of support to the screen appears to be indications of increased refinery maintenance that should prove capable of reversing a dramatic 23-mil bbl up-trend in gasoline stocks during the past seven weeks. Production declines should also be driven by some slippage in gasoline yields.
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We are seeing a small deficit in gasoline supplies, and there is some concern that the heavy refinery maintenance schedule set for the end of the quarter is going to affect supplies.
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High prices are eating into consumer demand, and the focus is on gasoline because of the upcoming driving season.
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The gasoline figure was the important number, the decline was much larger than expected.
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The gasoline draw is a bullish number, without doubt. The decline was much bigger than the 1.1 million barrels draw the Street was anticipating,
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The funds are really scrambling to build a larger position in the long gasoline crack spreads.
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The fundamentals across most of the complex are so bearish that on any given day you're either going to need to a lead from gasoline or some bullish geopolitical headlines to give this market a rally. Otherwise it's just going to sink.
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The main feature was the big gasoline drop again. That's going to support the entire complex.
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Crude stocks should show a sizable increase as an expected further recovery in imports toward 10 million barrels a day more than negates the impact of additional refinery restarts.