Jim Awad
Jim Awad
assessment came confidence either given higher indicative lower market orders problems
The non-manufacturing ISM index came in perfect, with higher orders and lower prices, and that has given the market more confidence to make the assessment that Wal-Mart's problems were either Wal-Mart -specific or retail-sector-specific and were not indicative of problems in the economy.
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It's more news of good economic growth and low inflation. That takes pressure off of stocks.
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The productivity and labor costs reports abated pressures (over) rising interest rates from the Fed, which is giving a kick to the market. Also, the storm in the East wasn't so bad, so oil pressure isn't bad.
consumer early earnings giving particular questions raise retail sector
Wal-Mart got the traffic, but not the margins, and that will raise questions about fourth-quarter earnings for retail in particular and the consumer sector in general. That's giving you some early caution.
bit caution earnings reporting roll
As we roll into the earnings reporting season, you're getting a little bit of caution.
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You started the day with some negative influences. The market was spooked by interest rates worldwide, and there was a very mixed reaction to Texas Instruments.
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You're getting a relief rally in bonds ... and that's giving you what looks like at an attempt at a rally in stocks, despite the bad news out of Microsoft with the delay of its product. The GM news is also a minor positive.
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There's a high degree of confidence the Fed is going to conduct itself in a non-surprising fashion tomorrow. The greater uncertainty with the Fed will occur next year, so I think (investors) are going to take tomorrow in stride unless the Fed surprises us.
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Companies are finally putting their money into play and that is a vote of confidence in the strength of the economy and a positive for stocks.
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GM is beginning to take some strong action. The question is whether those moves will be able to somewhat diminish the risk of bankruptcy.
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Industrial production data is helping support some of the largest conglomerates today. But the trading is volatile and a bit distorted given the options expiration.
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In terms of the Fed, the most favorable move from the market's point of view is if they raise interest rates by 25 basis points and keep the same language. If they raise 25 basis points and sound worried about inflation the market may get demoralized.
among current earnings met
The current earnings and the forward-looking guidance, in general, have not met expectations among a lot of companies.
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The hurricane was much less damaging than was feared and therefore oil is declining. That takes the pressure off the economy, so we're getting a knee-jerk reaction.