James Stack
James Stack
dollars homes percent value year
And the value of these unsold homes in the U.S. now exceeds (a) half-trillion dollars - up 33 percent from a year ago!
bond impact less maturity rates rising time until
The shorter the time until maturity, the less impact rising rates will have on bond prices.
bull celebrate fewer fourth half lived markets past
Of the 14 bull markets in the S&P 500 index over the past 75 years, fewer than half have lived to celebrate a fourth anniversary.
extend full good manage news three
The good news is that most of those that made it through three years did manage to extend another full year.
benefit economic steer tending towards
We're tending to steer towards those sectors that are going to benefit from an economic recovery,
declining fully generally hovering interest large moves near rates scenario starting stocks valued
We are starting with stocks fully valued and short- and long-term interest rates still hovering near four-decade lows. Large bull-market moves are generally accompanied by, or preceded by, declining rates, and we don't have that scenario today.
both bull corporate economic greater growth high higher levels maturing room running
In a maturing bull market, expectations are usually running at high levels for both economic growth and corporate earnings. And the higher the expectations, the greater the room for disappointment.
comparison favorable historical perspective prior
The comparison of the 2000s (to the prior two decades) will not be favorable from a historical perspective.