Ian Stannard
Ian Stannard
Ian Stannardis an English track and road racing cyclist for UCI ProTour team Team Sky...
coming factors few holding namely renewed supportive ultimately
Ultimately we will see sterling coming under renewed pressure. There are few supportive factors which are just holding it in place at the moment, namely M&A activity.
fed hold near raising rates reasonably
The Fed will be pausing after raising rates in May. Sterling is going to hold up reasonably well in the near term.
coming news putting quite
There is quite a lot of news coming out of Japan, which I think is putting the yen under some weakness.
test
We will get a test of the $1.10 low.
auction bond dollar foreign level market renewed thus
Expectations in the bond market have been high, thus any disappointment over the auction (particularly with the level of foreign participation) could put the dollar under renewed pressure.
dollar failure market meet peak perception putting rates reinforce renewed
Failure to meet market expectations here will reinforce the market perception that the peak in US rates is clear, putting the dollar under renewed pressure.
carry central drained driver excess global next year
We think next year will be a very different story as excess global liquidity, the driver for carry trades, is drained by central banks.
both dollar negative potential provide
Both have the potential to provide dollar with negative surprises.
behind dollar driving financial flows force hence main market months portfolio summer support
Portfolio flows had been the main driving force behind dollar strength. During the summer months we see a slowdown in financial market activity, and this reduces the flows into the U.S. and hence reduces support for the dollar.
behind dollar driving financial flows force hence main market months portfolio summer support
Portfolio flows had been the main driving force behind dollar strength, ... During the summer months we see a slowdown in financial market activity, and this reduces the flows into the U.S. and hence reduces support for the dollar.
believe clear coalition difficult either election form german grand hostility outcome possible result seems side worst
I believe the German election result is the worst outcome possible for the euro. Not only is there no clear winner, it will be difficult for either side to form a coalition and there seems to be hostility to the idea of a grand coalition.
although banks behind central citing global reasons reserve
Central bank's reserve diversification is now a global trend, although different central banks are citing different reasons behind the change.
economy higher interest keeping moving outlook rates
The outlook for interest rates is still positive. Canada's economy is still moving ahead, keeping expectations of higher rates alive.
couple easy low next solution testing weeks
I see euro/dollar testing the $1.1870 low in the next couple of weeks as there is no easy solution to this.