Frank Nothaft
Frank Nothaft
compare directly growth housing matter percent quarter second year
As a matter of fact, housing directly contributed to real GDP growth of 19 percent in the first quarter of the year and 23 percent in the second quarter. To put this in perspective, this would compare to 17 percent of real GDP growth over all of 2004.
compared consumer credit employment growth helped higher highest interest january jump level mortgage push rates since strength unexpected
The strength in employment growth and an unexpected jump in consumer credit in January helped push mortgage rates a little higher this week. While long-term interest rates are at the highest level since May of 1998, they are still very affordable, particularly when compared to the 1970s and 1980s.
bucket compared debt drop equity home last means mortgage total trillion value year
There's about $6 trillion in single-family mortgage debt outstanding, and total home value is about $13 trillion, which means there's about $7 trillion in home equity outstanding. Last year was a big year for liquefying home equity -- about $100 billion. That's a drop in the bucket compared to $7 trillion.
albeit compared few likely modestly mortgage next rates rise
Long-term mortgage rates will more than likely rise over the next few months, albeit modestly compared to shorter-term rates.
adding basically certainly favorable good home hovering level months mortgage past rate remained robust sales
The new home sales rate has remained robust for a good many months already. Certainly adding to the level of sales in the past six-to-12 months has been a very favorable level of mortgage rates, which are basically hovering around 7 percent.
concern consumer continued cut declining drop economy federal helped housing interest mortgage overall rates recent since spite support weakness year
The Federal Reserve's recent cut in interest rates and a continued concern over weakness in the overall economy contributed to another drop in mortgage rates this week. In spite of the slowdown in other sectors and a lessening of consumer confidence, declining mortgage rates since the first of the year have helped to support housing activity.
consumer deflation economy housing indicate leading pick price ready released reports starts stronger suggesting together week
The Consumer Price Index released this week showed no decline, suggesting that the possibility of deflation is still low. Housing starts were stronger than expected, as were the leading indicators released today. All of these reports together could indicate the economy is ready to pick up growth.
active alive confident continue expected great housing increase industry levels months mortgage november rates reached remain rose second seen since starts surprise three time
It was no great surprise that housing starts rose for the second time in three months since mortgage rates in November reached levels not seen since the mid-1960s. Since mortgage rates are not expected to increase significantly, we remain confident that the housing industry will continue to be alive and active well into 2003.
exceed forecast interest last percent rates six time
At this time last year, our forecast called for interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages to exceed six percent by this time this year,
based cause currently higher highest housing january market occurred rates starts week
That said, January housing starts were the highest in over 20 years, and that is based on higher rates than we are currently experiencing, ... All in all, the little run-up in rates that occurred this week will not be enough to cause a significant slowdown in current housing market activity.
breaking current demand economy housing keeping low mortgage overall rates record
Current record breaking low mortgage rates are keeping demand for housing strong, even as the overall economy stumbles sluggishly into the first part of the new year.
causing currently due economic exactly focusing good market mortgage next pressure rates rebound recovery remains six strong volatility within
Currently the market is focusing on an anticipated economic recovery within the next six months. That focus put some upward pressure on mortgage rates this week, causing them to rise. There remains good volatility though, due to market speculation over exactly when and how strong the rebound will be.
both dropping existing home housing july june levels sales somewhat starts took
Both existing home sales in June and housing starts in July took a breather, dropping to somewhat more sustainable levels of activity,
almost basis beginning bond continue creeping daily expect inflation mortgage pushing rates remains rising since yields
Bond yields have been creeping up on an almost daily basis since the beginning of October, pushing mortgage rates up as they go, ... Inflation remains low, however, and we expect that to continue into 2004 and beyond. And as long as it does, we won't see mortgage rates rising very dramatically.