Fadel Gheit
Fadel Gheit
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A rise in oil prices stifles economic growth, ... There is a close correlation between gasoline prices and retail sales. Paying more per week for gas means less disposable income, which impacts retail and the purchasing power of the consumer, as does a higher average home heating bill due to the cost of fuel oil.
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A rise in oil prices is not good news for the equity market or the economy.
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The warm weather in the U.S. may be cutting demand for oil by 1 million barrels per day.
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There is speculation that Texaco would be the next takeover target, but on fundamentals, Texaco is a very cheap stock, very high leverage to both oil prices and gas prices and both moving higher,
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We could suddenly have oversupply and weaker demand, and that will probably bring oil prices down on their own,
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We could say we were releasing oil to drive prices down until they get to $25 a barrel, ... Then OPEC could say it'll cut production to keep prices up. It's a very delicate subject to tinker with.
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The U.S. uses 20 million barrels of oil a day. Prices are currently inflated by about $15 a barrel, and that additional cost is effectively a $300 million dollar-a-day tax on Americans, eating away at disposable income for people in this country,
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This global tension, led by the stalemate between Iran and the U.S., could lead to oil prices about $80. People are really afraid that something is going to happen, and soon.
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This administration has created more profit for the industry that it has made since its inception. The oil industry will be the big winner during the (Bush years). We can count on the fact that oil prices are not going to go lower. If they move they will only go higher.
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The bulk of the replacement in the last three years was through acquisitions. The easy oil has been discovered.
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As long as oil prices remain high, oil stocks will continue to outperform the market in general.
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Oil prices have been exceeding the most bullish forecasts for the past year and a half, and that's not driven by industry fundamentals, but largely by speculation and fears of a potential supply disruption,
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Oil prices, ... are probably going to go over $26, which will mark the highest level outside the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
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Any cooling in economic growth immediately will take oil demand down so one would expect the price will come down.