Eric Garland
Eric Garland
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Practically speaking, ... I don't know that it makes any difference to the kid in the dorm room. That genie is already out of the bottle.
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Even bands with deep catalogs have hits, and then they have superstar hits. There may be 20 songs from Queen that people know, but really we're talking about two or three that are more popular by orders of magnitude. They're cultural staples. If I had the option to buy 9 songs instead of 12 songs on 'Meet the Beatles,' I might have done that.
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Unlike downloading a Hollywood film, which I think everyone intuitively knows is a clear violation of the copyright, people do not have that sharp line, that distinction, in their minds when they download free TV.
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The ability to spend a million dollars on a video, maybe a million on radio promotion-- that's all dependent on people buying a $17 expression of the product. If people spend 1/17 of that, then all of these shoulda-been multi-platinum records are underwater. And that's what's happening.
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Per capita, there's been a decline in song sales.
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Most people, most of the time, get their music free. And that's not a marketplace. In fact, it directly threatens the concept of the music marketplace.
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None of these companies are essential in the mix. They're afterthoughts.
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My easy prediction is that The Beatles will sell a lot of songs online, even though seemingly everybody who has access to them has their songs already.
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The open-source community will continue to build new, uncensored versions.
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File sharing has never been more popular than it is now, ... People have heard all the legal threats and admonitions, but that's not enough. They don't believe it.
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It's just like if Sony went out of business. Your Sony television would still function.
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It's an existential question. To answer it, you'd have to get between the ears of everyone who downloads for free, every time they download something.
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The Fab Four have always been among the very most popular bands online even though they're technically -- or legitimately -- unavailable online. My easy prediction is that the Beatles sell a lot of songs online, even though seemingly everybody who has access to them has their songs already.
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Three to five years from now, we'll be looking at a system where you buy a digital file, and it plays on any digital device.