Doug Porter
Doug Porter
Douglas "Doug" Porteris a former American football coach. He served as the head coach at Mississippi Valley State University, Howard University, and Fort Valley State University, compiling a career college football record of 115–111–5. He was also an assistant coach at Grambling State University under Eddie Robinson. Porter was inducted into the College Football Hall of Fame in 2008...
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Simply put, Canada's balance of payments remains exceptionally strong. It is very tough to make the case that the Canadian dollar is wildly overvalued when the country continues to chalk up solid current account surpluses and net inflows in foreign direct investment.
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Obviously, consumers just ignored all the dire warnings and kept on spending.
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The deepening slide in manufacturing is notable, although solid gains in other areas continue to pick up the slack. The moderation in wage growth will be welcome by the Bank of Canada.
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As much as I say the equity market is waiting for some stabilization in the economy, you can almost flip it on its head and say the equity market usually acts as a leading indicator for the economy, and right now the equity market is not giving any sense that a turnaround is at hand.
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There was a strong hint in their latest minutes that they're talking about half percentage point moves in interest rates rather than just these baby steps of a quarter percentage point move.
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There's been a slight upward revision of expectations for Fed tightening, which would keep the spread between rates locked in. The earlier view was that the spread might narrow.
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It was a narrowly based rally, ... A lot of the big winners that had tremendous increases in the past ,just kept rolling along.
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The only complaint about Monday's move is that it was on fairly narrow breadth ... but that shouldn't take away from what's been an entirely impressive run by the TSE, both this month and this year,
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We have seen a string of numbers that suggest the U.S. economy is losing some momentum, which really is a perfect environment because it's not as if growth is grinding to a halt.
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What has changed in recent weeks is long-term interest rates across the globe are starting to feel the heat from Fed tightening and now from rate hikes from all kinds of quarters, including Japan and Europe which they really hadn't had to deal with before.
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Canada's dollar still has a lot of supporters out there. The economy is performing very well and the central bank may go further.
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In fact, over the past week, it was a veritable blood bath for commodity prices.
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I guess the other concern is the continued weakness in the U.S ... it raises some serious concern over what the market is telling us for the North American economy going forward.
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There is a bit of risk because it will probably pump up real retail sales ... from all the various tax cuts.