Doug MacIntyre
Doug MacIntyre
abundant demand gasoline prices reason seemingly supplies time usual
The prices are going up because of the usual seasonal build-up in demand this time of year. The reason we still have prices going up when inventories are seemingly abundant is that there's a lot of uncertainty about gasoline supplies in the future.
demand growth high impact lower normally people prices saying
Just as we were saying high prices were lessening the demand growth we would normally see, but not as much as some people would think, the lower prices are having some impact on making demand higher.
citing demand followed prices reasons supply
Just like we were citing supply and demand as the reasons why prices went up, it's the same reason they're going down. It's pretty much followed with what we would be expecting.
crude demand fall gasoline impact labor ok question
We probably are OK (with gasoline supplies) to get to Labor Day, but the question is how much is demand going to fall off (after the holiday) and what's crude going to do and how does that impact the gasoline price.
demand depends summer unfolds
Then it really depends on how the summer unfolds with demand and summer vacations.
average bigger coverage daily demand drive fleet growth higher levels percentage represent strong supply tends
Demand growth has become so strong that these higher supply levels don't represent the same daily demand coverage they used to. SUVs are making up a bigger percentage of the fleet and the average American tends to drive more miles.
continue few likely rise weeks
We think they're going to likely continue to rise for a few more weeks at least.
begin gas lose markets normally percent prices tight
We've got a lot more down now than normally would be. If gas markets are already tight to begin with and you lose 5 percent of the supply, prices are going to increase.
expect lower saying
I would expect (demand) to be lower ... than what we were saying before.
couple fall further increases next prices retail ruling several spot
Retail prices may stabilize more than fall in the next couple of weeks. We're not ruling out further price increases should spot prices increase, but the retail price should be stabilizing over the next several weeks.
above chance expect iranian stay unless
I think there's a chance of getting above $3 this summer. I don't think we would expect it to stay up there unless there's a long-term Iranian embargo, or a long-term refinery outage.
averaged barrels close four gasoline high imports last million per
Our imports of gasoline averaged close to 1.0 million barrels per day in the last four weeks, which is very high for February.
week
We may see another week or two of increases.
bottom higher low prices time
We don't see prices going as low as $2.50 any time this summer. They could bottom out much higher than that.