David Lereah
David Lereah
David Lereah is the President of Reecon Advisors, Inc., a real estate advisory and information company located in the Washington, DC area. Lereah was previously an Executive Vice President at Move, Inc. and before that, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors. Lereah served as the NAR's spokesman on economic forecasts, interest rates, home sales, mortgage rates, as well as other policy issues and trends affecting the United States real estate industry. Lereah was also the Chief Economist for...
buyer census changed data definition determine examining homes investment larger mostly number second share shift toward vacation
Our definition of second homes has changed with the buyer shift toward investment property, ... In examining Census data to determine the number of investment units, we see that second homes are a much larger share than the conventional mind-set of them being mostly vacation homes.
appreciation real opportunity
Real estate is still a great investment opportunity for households. Price appreciation will continue. It may not be at 20%. It may ... even go down to 5%.
healthy great-depression economic
...housing activity will remain healthy for some time to come.
inventory gains driving
The continuing shortages of housing inventory are driving the price gains. There is no evidence of bubbles popping.
track balloons great-depression
We are really on track for a soft landing. There are no balloons popping.
home affirmation pending
The drop in pending home sales is an affirmation that we are experiencing a modest slowing in the housing sector.
appreciation wall home
The steady improvement in [home] sales will support price appreciation...[despite] all the wild projections by academics, Wall Street analysts, and others in the media.
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If you paid your mortgage off, it means you probably did not manage your funds efficiently over the years,
years growth next-year
With sales stabilizing, we should go back to positive price growth early next year.
real believe years
I believe that in years to come, historians will see the beginning of the 21st century as the ‘golden age’ of real estate.
home mountain-peaks levels
Home sales are coming down from the mountain peak, but they will level out at a high plateau - a plateau that is higher than previous peaks in the housing cycle.
behavior commercial designed early economic estate major market modeling points provide relationship signals tool trends turning
Modeling a relationship between economic and commercial market indicators, as well as market trends and sentiment, will provide us with a new tool in assessing market behavior in the major commercial real estate sectors. It is being designed as an index to provide early signals of turning points between expansions and slowdowns in commercial real estate activity.
additional april august close easing four level months pace project record sales since sixth strongest three total toward
Since April we've experienced three out of the four strongest months on record for existing-home sales, and August was the sixth highest. We're at a more sustainable level now, but long-term there should be some additional easing toward the end of the year. In fact, the August sales pace is close to what we project for total sales this year.
five interest last months mortgage rates since year
Since 1971 there have been only five months when mortgage interest rates were lower, and all of those have been during the last year and a half.