Daniel Jester
Daniel Jester
economy-and-economics obvious sees strong testimony tone
From the tone of his testimony today, it's obvious he sees a pretty strong economy.
business compared correction cycle inflation low momentum normally point rates seeing
Right now, we're seeing upward momentum in long-term rates, especially with new inflation worries. Long-term rates have been so low for so long compared to where they'd normally be in the business cycle -- at some point a correction is necessary.
claims decline great sharp
Today's sharp decline in jobless claims is great news.
coming costs expected growth healthy labor rise slowly trend unit
The trend is still for healthy productivity growth between 2% and 2.5%, and unit labor costs are expected to only slowly rise over the coming year.
buy continues fed homes people raise stretching
If the Fed continues to raise rates, adjustable-rate mortgages will continue to get pinched. That's going to take people who are stretching to buy homes off the table.
extremely global growth mounting
The longer-term up-trend in the index is intact. Inventories are extremely lean, global growth is firming and there are mounting unfilled orders.