Dana Johnson
Dana Johnson
Dana Johnsonis an American writer and Associate Professor at the University of Southern California. Honors include the Flannery O'Connor Award for Short Fiction, and being named a nominee for the Hurston/Wright Legacy Award. Her writing has appeared in Callaloo, The Iowa Review, and elsewhere...
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With many investors drifting away early for the Thanksgiving holiday and with the fixed income markets scheduled to close early on Wednesday, the clear potential is for some erratic price action in illiquid markets,
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I don't think one 50 basis point move (by the Fed) is likely to be enough. It's going to be very hard for the stock market to move ahead. Profit margins are not going to be expanding. There's going to be nothing to offset the higher interest rates.
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This reminds me of the famous Sherlock Holmes mystery, where the dog that didn't bark was the key. It was what Greenspan didn't say more than what he did say that got the market excited. People were ready to hear a more upbeat reading on the economy than he gave.
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The next two years are going to be a real watershed for them. They absolutely must demonstrate they can stabilize their market share, because cost-cutting is not enough.
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There's excruciatingly slow improvement in the labor market and no reason for the Fed to withdraw any of its accommodation, given the lack of job growth.
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This is a crystal clear indication that the labor markets are very healthy and it reinforces the notion that the economy is growing in a healthy, sustainable way.
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The unemployment rate on a month-to-month basis bounces around quite a lot. The trend is for a small downward drifting in the unemployment rate, reflecting as much people withdrawing from the labor market as anything else.
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The market has been extraordinarily complacent, viewing central bankers only as buyers although they're also sellers.
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There's no question the Michigan economy and Detroit metro economy have been lagging because of continued exposure to the auto sector.
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I was really encouraged to see the rebound in activity in June and July. The local economy looks much healthier this summer than it did this past spring. However, a clear up-trend is not yet in place and probably will be slow to develop given the punishing level of energy prices and the prospect of more consolidation in the auto industry.
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I think Michigan would like nothing more than to see GM emerge as a leaner and more profitable company,
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It is exciting just to be able to say you actually saw an Olympic medal up close, even touch it.
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The affordability of light vehicles has been quite stable over the past ten quarters. Family incomes have been rising faster than vehicle prices, but higher interest rates have increased the cost of financing a new car.
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From a cyclical perspective, I'm not prepared to worry about inflation. There's no clear pattern of acceleration.