Dan Niles
Dan Niles
believe booked intel loaded quarter seeing third
We believe that Intel is seeing the most front-end loaded third quarter in many years and is booked out for the quarter.
believe demand exceed fourth likely possibly quarter supply third
We believe that demand is now likely to exceed Intel's processor supply now through the third quarter and possibly into the fourth quarter.
believe call cents consensus double enable estimates good higher job lead levels margins operating several
We believe that Compaq also did a good job on the profitability front, which should enable operating margins to more than double from third-quarter levels ... this should lead to earnings-per-share at least several cents higher than the consensus First Call estimates of $0.16.
believe downside estimates negative pcs remain risk stock
We remain negative on PCs and semis and believe there is still downside risk to estimates and stock prices.
believe downside happen high poor reasonable remain sidelines stock though until
Though we believe Dell can outperform the Nasdaq in 2000 after a poor 1999, we believe this can only happen after expectations have been reset to more reasonable levels. We believe downside on the stock is to the high $30s. We remain on the sidelines until then.
believe best estimates forward likely remain unchanged
As a result, we believe forward EPS estimates at best will remain unchanged and most likely will need to be lowered.
beat good numbers quarter three
It was about as good a quarter as you're going to get. They cleanly beat the numbers by about three cents.
demand inventory large levels likely looks situation sluggish supply worse
The supply situation will likely get worse in the first half, while demand looks sluggish at best, with large inventory levels in the supply chain.
affect chip closely company generally good guys last overall positive
It doesn't get a lot better than that, especially for a company that just hasn't been doing very well for the last year. It's going to be good for them tomorrow, and that should have a positive affect on a lot of the other chip makers, especially guys that are closely related. It will have generally a positive affect on the overall market.
happening problem stop time
The problem is how long will it take for the fundamentals to stop getting worse, and we don't see that happening any time soon.
against current hard increase vote
If the shareholders vote against this deal, it is hard to see how she will remain. In our opinion, the only beneficiaries to the current increase in uncertainty are Dell and IBM.
excited growth hard line miss negative revenue stock top
When you miss your top line by $1 billion, the stock should go down. With negative year-over-year revenue growth it is really hard to get excited about the stock.
gives happen magnitude market miss move next pc pricing year
There could be a bloodbath in pricing in the first part of next year if they don't move inventories over the holidays. The magnitude of the miss gives you an idea of what's going to happen with the PC market next year.
huge price quarter
There has been a huge run-up in price this quarter - unbelievable results.