Brett Gallagher
Brett Gallagher
early earnings horizon ignoring investors looking major power quarter roadblocks short staying third
Investors have been ignoring earnings and looking forward, pretty much discounting the third quarter and looking to early 2002. I don't see any major roadblocks on the horizon for now. We have staying power in the very short term.
anyone earnings expecting heading quarter season starting
The quarter is starting off pretty rough. We're heading into earnings season and I don't think anyone is expecting anything good.
bounce earnings estimates extent given help last markets quarters risk sold unexpected week
It is a little bounce and it's not to be unexpected given how much the markets sold off last week so I wouldn't read too much into this. Earnings are going to be very important to help set the tone, but the out quarters are still very much at risk and those estimates have not come down to the extent I think they should.
aggressive beat companies easy fairly general low mean quarter quarters
However, expectations for this quarter in general are so low that it will be fairly easy for companies to beat and that can give us a short-term boost. But will it mean anything? Expectations for the subsequent quarters are still too aggressive and unrealistic.
claims clear difficult employment jobs link missing moving point recovery stock takes talked time weekly whatever
Everyone has talked about employment being the missing link in the recovery, but as the weekly jobless claims have made clear for some time, employment is moving in the right direction, it's just moving very slowly. At whatever point a substantial recovery in jobs really takes hold, that's probably going to be a difficult time for the stock market.
basically comments decision fed tone top
The Fed decision was basically right on top of expectations. Even the tone of their comments was balanced, as it should be. I don't think there were any surprises.
backup guys lost
We lost all of our power. We're on backup power. Our guys aren't trading.
durable economic extent good poor vacuum
To an extent we're in a vacuum where even poor economic statistics, such as the durable good orders, can't dissuade investors.
build fund initial leaning managers selling toward using wonder
What I wonder is are we going to see follow-through selling after the initial drop, or are we going have fund managers using the pullback to build up positions? I'm leaning toward the latter.
positive tax
Eliminating the dividend tax is a psychological positive for the market, ... but at the end of the day, it's no big deal.
certainly ebb flow level market middle national news playing raised security seem sold talk technical
We seem to be certainly playing to the ebb and flow of the news on the Middle East. You had talk that the national security level would be raised and the market sold off immediately, then popped back up once it was dismissed. That's the kind of market we're in. It's rumor-driven, technical and the fundamentals are not playing a role.
best bottom companies developed ends giving market pick sector stock
Every market and every sector has different things that make it tick. So when we're looking, for example, at developed markets, we are bottom up stock pickers. We'll pick the best companies and see what kind of allocation that ends up giving us.
ability concern corporate costs create deals driven economy general greater help meet next reduce seem
There's a general concern about the economy and corporate profits. The deals seem to be driven by the ability to reduce costs or create greater synergies of scale, so it's not something that's going to help them meet next quarter's earnings.
ability concern corporate costs create deals driven economy general greater help meet next reduce seem
There's a general concern about the economy and corporate profits, ... The deals seem to be driven by the ability to reduce costs or create greater synergies of scale, so it's not something that's going to help them meet next quarter's earnings.