Brett Gallagher
Brett Gallagher
build gains news order period prolonged slow steady time
We're going to have to see better news and slow steady incremental gains over a prolonged period of time in order to build the market.
claims clear difficult employment jobs link missing moving point recovery stock takes talked time weekly whatever
Everyone has talked about employment being the missing link in the recovery, but as the weekly jobless claims have made clear for some time, employment is moving in the right direction, it's just moving very slowly. At whatever point a substantial recovery in jobs really takes hold, that's probably going to be a difficult time for the stock market.
confidence corporate earnings heal market street time wall
This is a market that has no confidence. Corporate confidence is shot, confidence in earnings is shot, and confidence in Wall Street analysts is gone. Only time is going to heal that.
boost good huge market outcome rally time unlikely
It's unlikely the market would get a boost from that kind of a result. This time we have such a good outcome priced in that I don't think we'll have a huge rally once this is over.
problems worse
With pharmaceuticals, the problems are pretty well known. I don't think they're going to get any worse from here.
durable economic extent good poor vacuum
To an extent we're in a vacuum where even poor economic statistics, such as the durable good orders, can't dissuade investors.
build fund initial leaning managers selling toward using wonder
What I wonder is are we going to see follow-through selling after the initial drop, or are we going have fund managers using the pullback to build up positions? I'm leaning toward the latter.
best bottom companies developed ends giving market pick sector stock
Every market and every sector has different things that make it tick. So when we're looking, for example, at developed markets, we are bottom up stock pickers. We'll pick the best companies and see what kind of allocation that ends up giving us.
certainly ebb flow level market middle national news playing raised security seem sold talk technical
We seem to be certainly playing to the ebb and flow of the news on the Middle East. You had talk that the national security level would be raised and the market sold off immediately, then popped back up once it was dismissed. That's the kind of market we're in. It's rumor-driven, technical and the fundamentals are not playing a role.
backup guys lost
We lost all of our power. We're on backup power. Our guys aren't trading.
appearance companies earnings easier far less looked positive profit
One positive is that S&P earnings so far have looked better than the year-earlier period. Granted, comparisons are a lot easier as companies take less write-offs, but it's still something that's encouraging. I don't think we're going to have a big profit recovery, but we'll have the appearance of improvement.
companies currency factor policy
Some companies have a policy of currency hedging, and you have to factor that into the picture.
bad drive earnings economic either few front good last market news next season seen trading vulnerable
We've seen more bad news than good news on the economic front over the last few weeks, but the market has been trading higher. Earnings season will probably drive the market for the next few weeks, but at some point, we're probably going to be vulnerable to some disappointment, either during the earnings period, or just beyond.
core earnings introduce nobody ongoing operations picture present reason
I thought the reason for core earnings was to present a picture of what earnings from ongoing operations really look like. But because of this one factor, and because it's going to introduce so much volatility, nobody is going to use it.