Barry Ritholtz
Barry Ritholtz
Barry Ritholtz is an American author, newspaper columnist, blogger, equities analyst, CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, and guest commentator on Bloomberg Television. He is also a former contributor to CNBC and TheStreet.com...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionAuthor
CountryUnited States of America
future information limited possible unknowable variables
Investing is about making probabilistic decisions with limited information about an unknowable future. The variables are well known, as are the possible outcomes.
although forget future guess market people pinpoint simply tells whether
People forget that although we can pinpoint the price, we can only guess at future earnings. The past isn't much help: It simply tells whether a market was pricey or cheap.
correctly dependent future guessing happen
Have a well-thought financial plan that is not dependent upon correctly guessing what will happen in the future.
asked develop founders future good google helped imagining near street views
Google's founders have had a good eye for imagining what technologies will be significant in the near future. No one asked Google to develop self-driving cars, but it helped them with street views for Google Maps.
bond concerned economic fed fight flock future growth investors slowing
You can't fight the bond market. There's only so much the Fed can do. If investors are more concerned about economic growth slowing down in the future than inflation, they will flock to bonds.
across contrary head inflation people rearing
We see inflation rearing its head across the board. Contrary to what a lot of people have been saying, it's not just energy.
across board coming despite earnings fourth function good issue problem quarter statements stocks
Earnings have been coming in across the board pretty good, but the problem hasn't been earnings. The issue is the forward-looking statements for the fourth quarter or 2006. Despite good numbers, you see some stocks getting punished. It's a function of the outlook.
grinding moon saw shot tech upside year
There's still upside in tech but it's going to be more grudging and grinding and choppy, it's not going to be this moon shot that we saw a year ago.
stocks stupid tech
Tech stocks are probably a little pricey. But they're not stupid pricey.
buck elsewhere fall forced less money pinch spend technology
Every buck that they are forced to spend elsewhere is that much less money (spent) on other issues. With technology it may not fall dollar-for-dollar, but you have to think that it's going to pinch a little bit.
years important next-year
It is important for investors to understand what they do and don't know. Learn to recognize that you cannot possibly know what is going to happen in the future, and any investment plan that is dependent on accurately forecasting where markets will be next year is doomed to failure.
long political quality
'Excessive regulation in the banking reform bill will destroy a substantial part of our bond-distributing machinery. Can anyone expect that a step of this kind will improve the quality of our long-term investments?'
thinking talking people
I find it funny that people who didn't think there was any inflation in the pipeline are now talking about stagflation. This is nothing like the 1970's, which was a pretty dismal period and not just because of polyester and disco.
work-out mergers majority
The market is going to love it. The market always seems to applaud major mergers, even though the vast majority of them don't work out and don't increase shareholder value.