Arnie Berman
Arnie Berman
control cost gotten strategic structure sun
Sun has not gotten its cost structure under control and is more of a strategic muddle.
activity bond companies equipment market money providers scared service signal spending start
Consolidation activity is actually a signal that service providers are scared and will start spending money again. Equipment companies are long-term beneficiaries of this and frankly, I think that's what the bond market is smelling out,
december either estimates growth higher looks negative period positive row saw third
It looks like we'll have the third period in a row where revisions to estimates are positive. And top-line growth rates, which were negative for a while, will be positive for the third period in a row and will be higher than we saw in either December or March.
allowed charles finally happen marriage parker prince reminds union
This marriage of Hewlett and Compaq that's finally been allowed to be consummated reminds me a lot of what would happen if there were a union between Prince Charles and Camilla Parker Bowles.
aware bond cash chances flows improved investors irrelevant market money owed
The bond market is keenly aware that cash flows have improved and that the chances of investors getting back money they are owed is better. That's not at all irrelevant to stockholders,
associated best delivering downside earlier growth industry intel news pc positive rest returned surprises technology tends upside
A lot of the best news is associated with the PC industry. Intel has been not just a bellwether in the sense that it's big, but in the sense that technology as an industry has returned to positive year-over-year growth rates, and technology as an industry tends to be delivering more upside surprises than downside surprises these days. Intel started to do that earlier and more substantially than the rest of technology.
belief confused people somewhat tech unilateral
There's no unilateral belief about tech stocks. People are confused and somewhat justifiably.
concerns market rest
Techs are being impacted by the same concerns that the rest of the market is,
happen recovery second stocks technology
Technology stocks were grossly oversold going into this. The recovery in fundamentals won't happen all at once, but it will get under way in the second quarter.
basis history longer possibilities stocks technology valued
Technology stocks that were once valued on a price-to-possibilities basis are now valued as if history no longer matters,
basis capital companies cyclical fact faster good investing overall pace rate recover sound spending technology terribly
How these companies sound isn't a terribly good basis for investing right now, ... The fact is that in an incremental cyclical recovery, capital spending will recover at a brisker pace than the overall recovery, and technology spending will recover at a faster rate than capital spending.
companies delivering few group growth money narrow positive tech tends
You've had a narrow group of tech companies that have been delivering positive and accelerating growth characteristics and money tends to get concentrated in those few companies that are doing that.
best business capacity count economic economy-and-economics expansion head latter leaders less questions recovery rising stage start starting technology thinking
The latter stage of an economic recovery, where head count is rising and productivity is starting to fall, is the best for technology spending, and that's where we will be in 2006. Business leaders start thinking more about technology and less about questions like capacity expansion or how long the recovery will last.
brutal chose company example ibm lower missed number quarter results spending technology whose worse
The first quarter was so brutal for technology spending that even IBM missed the number and chose to lower the bar. But here you have an example of a company that's very big and whose results were not, in any respect, worse than expected.