Alan Williamson
Alan Williamson
clear markets metals precious prices recent recovering trend
There has been little clear trend in precious metals prices in recent trading, with the markets recovering when they look the most bearish and stalling when they look the most bullish.
certainly drift further gold ignoring lower market oil price recent remains sentiment strength towards
Certainly sentiment towards gold now remains positive, with the market ignoring the further drift lower in the oil price and the recent strength in the dollar,
broader gold held middle price range recent since stopped
Yesterday's sell-off has stopped the recent uptrend in its tracks, with the (gold) price now squarely back in the middle of the broader $535-$575 range that has held since the middle of January.
case equity funds gains gold investors local lock market markets months move positively prices recent recycling secure sought stock
Over recent months gold and equity prices have been positively correlated. This has particularly been the case in Japan, where investors have sought to lock in stock market gains by recycling funds into gold. With equity markets weakening, local investors sought to secure gains on gold and move into cash.
base distinct drag further given increased metals precious prices recent
Given the increased correlation between base and precious metals over recent months, any further weakening in base metal prices would be a distinct drag on gold.
buying days few gold hardly last major price rally recent reflects slowing source surprising various
It may well be that the stalling in the gold price rally over the last few days reflects a slowing in inflows into the various exchange-traded funds. With the major source of gold buying drying up over recent days it is hardly surprising that the gold price rally has stalled.
action bias continues early held hold market middle move price range rather recent since suggesting towards trading within
The market continues to hold in the middle of the $535-$575 range that has held since early January, with the most recent price action suggesting a bias towards a move higher, rather than lower, within this trading band.
almost enjoyed excuse last likely looking rally seems since
What seems more likely is that the markets, having enjoyed an almost uninterrupted rally since last summer, have been looking for an excuse to take a breather and consolidate the gains.
action complex given hardly metals precious price remains sentiment strength surprising towards
Sentiment towards the precious metals complex remains overwhelmingly bullish, which is hardly surprising given the strength of the price action.
complex metals precious remains sentiment towards
Sentiment towards the precious metals complex remains overwhelmingly bullish.
although bear further gold looks ruled sentiment swift towards trap turned
Sentiment towards gold has now turned markedly more bearish and further long liquidation looks likely, although the deterioration in sentiment has been so swift that a bear trap can not be ruled out.
bullish february further gains high move obvious ounce remains seems sentiment towards
Sentiment towards bullion remains overwhelmingly bullish and further short-term gains are likely. A move up towards the February 1983 high of $509 an ounce seems the obvious target.
fact matter
The fact of the matter is he is still not in compliance.
add again fairly funds last metal outlook platinum positions sold toward year
The outlook for platinum is fairly positive. The funds aggressively sold off positions toward the end of last year and could add positions in platinum again and take the metal over $1,000/oz.