Al Goldman
Al Goldman
bear bull dead mood
It's not going to be a one-way trip. But the bear is dead and we're transitioning from a bear mood to a bull mood.
catch change glass good half last market modest month mood rally shift
The big change in this market the last month or so has been a mood shift from 'the glass is half empty' to 'the glass is half full', and that's why we've had a good rally and a very modest time-out to catch our breath.
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The best stimulant you can have for a market is an 'up' market, and it feeds on itself. The market is 90 percent emotions, and the mood shifted.
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The mood in the market is one of a high level of caution. When you get some selling coming in, it's almost like a chain reaction -- it builds on itself.
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People are beginning to feel like the boat is leaving the dock -- there is a lot of money on the sidelines. The bottom line is we are transitioning from a bear mood to a bull mood, but it doesn't go straight up. Bear markets stink, but it creates very good opportunities for intermediate to long-term investors.
bullish mood
I think we are transitioning from a bearish mood to a bullish mood,
confidence confusion easy economy investors lack main market mood prime sitting taking turn
Investors are taking the easy way out ? they're sitting on their hands. The main confusion is a lack of confidence in just when the economy will turn up and the economy will improve. The prime mood in the market is one of no conviction.
beyond fed looks market mechanism months mood shook supportive therapy willing yesterday
The market is a discounting mechanism and typically looks six-to-nine months ahead. But now everyone is so shook up they're not willing to look beyond the end of their nose. What we need is a mood shift, and they (investors) got no supportive therapy from the Fed yesterday (Tuesday).
both buying notorious opportunity rather sector sooner
The sector is notorious for over-reacting - both up and down - and now we are getting a little realistic. But I think the buying opportunity is going to be sooner rather than later.
areas market
These are the personalities of a market getting in the areas of a bottom.
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Earnings are ancient history. The first quarter is under our belt. The market is now looking to the fourth quarter and ahead.
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Drug companies are being hit by the Merck trial. But since their valuations are still cheap, we might see a sharp rebound in their stock prices soon.
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Earlier this year, home-builder stocks were going up like Superman. Today's drop in the home sales report provided a good excuse for managers to finally sell those stocks and lock in some profits.
economic good news normal recovery
Fluctuation is normal after a run-up. The economic news is not good and it's not going to be good for a while, but we are in recovery mode.