Al Goldman
Al Goldman
days four gains half increase rally seven year
After four days of selling, a giveback of about half of the gains of the first seven days of the new year and a big increase in gloom, we look for a rally attempt.
economy either feeling good hurt increase interest modest raised rates
My feeling is the economy is going to slow, either on its own or by the Fed. If you think interest rates are going to be raised steadily, that's not good for anybody, but a modest increase does not hurt technology.
cause earnings economy increase modest pleasant point quarter second
Second quarter earnings are going to be a very pleasant surprise. A quarter point increase won't even cause the economy to sneeze. It's so modest it will not be a factor.
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The report was a sign that the Federal Reserve may not need to increase interest rates as high.
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We have a very nervous investment environment. The excuse is bond rates are up and there is increased concern about the financial futures market, which appears to be predicting three more rate hike for the Fed funds.
bear bull dead mood
It's not going to be a one-way trip. But the bear is dead and we're transitioning from a bear mood to a bull mood.
catch change glass good half last market modest month mood rally shift
The big change in this market the last month or so has been a mood shift from 'the glass is half empty' to 'the glass is half full', and that's why we've had a good rally and a very modest time-out to catch our breath.
best feeds market mood percent
The best stimulant you can have for a market is an 'up' market, and it feeds on itself. The market is 90 percent emotions, and the mood shifted.
bears keeps love market somewhat
The bears just won't give and I love having bears out there. It keeps the market somewhat healthy.
bears deserve economic economy miserable news pace points slowing
The bears are going to have another miserable day, and they deserve it. The economic news points out that the economy is slowing from the over-heated pace in the first quarter.
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The Fed sounded a bit less certain about the need for future rate hikes, saying further policy firming 'may' be needed.
dramatic fed move today
The Fed made a dramatic move today and it was needed,
optimistic technical
I'm very optimistic on the long bond. The fundamentals are there and the technical underpinnings are still positive.
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It's been horribly grim this week. There's a high level of gloom and doom in the market and a low level of optimism.