William Gray
William Gray
American attorney who served as a federal judge. He was appointed to the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of California in 1966.
ProfessionLawyer
Date of Birth26 March 1912
experience overall seen storms suggest thus
We've called for 12 storms and have seen two thus far, but in our experience that doesn't suggest anything about the overall season,
bunch caribbean heck islands last major north pass period south storms striking watching year
There have been a heck of a lot of storms in the Caribbean in the last 11 years. You've dodged a bunch of them. In any one year the probability of a major storm striking the Virgin Islands is low, but you'll at least be watching more storms pass to the north and south of you than in the down period from 1970 to 1994.
clip fact favorable good moving storm
The fact that this storm is moving at a good clip is favorable for getting stronger,
almost average coast east hit storms term twice
We actually think the probability of the East Coast being hit with storms is almost twice what the long term average is for this year.
atlantic brought changes four global led major number ocean past pattern similar storms turn
This in turn has led to a number of Atlantic Ocean and global oceanic circulation changes that have brought on more major storms during the past four years. The pattern is very similar to what was occurring in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s.
globe highest jump peak proven rest storms tropical
The rest of the globe that has 88% of the tropical storms hasn't changed, ... If I'm proven wrong, I will jump off the highest peak in Colorado.
past storms unlucky
In the past two years we've had two unlucky years. Globally, storms aren't getting worse, just in the Atlantic.
activity atlantic climate positive signals storm
All of the climate signals in the Atlantic Basin that we've been monitoring are very positive for above-average storm activity this year,
andrew hit hurricane last major storm
The last major storm to come through Florida, before Hurricane Andrew hit in 1992, was Hurricane Betsy in 1965, which went through the Keys.
activity expect hurricane season time tropical witness
We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.
along decades east few florida lucky major past states three united
The United States has been very lucky over the past three decades in witnessing very few major hurricanes making landfall in Florida and along the East Coast,
both devices
Both of these devices are promising. The kicker is long-term durability,
active activity atlantic coming continue current events expect hurricane major number period seasons seen though unlikely
Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane season, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.
august hurricane last major number since six somewhat strikes terms though three versus
Even though the U.S. has experienced six major hurricane strikes since August 2004, in terms of the number of U.S. major hurricane strikes during the last 11 years (nine of 43, versus one of three for the century-long average) we have been, from this perspective, somewhat fortunate,