Victor Shum
Victor Shum
besides demand driven emotional iranian momentum prices supply
Besides the fundamental supply and demand information, prices are driven by the emotional momentum of the Iranian issue.
crude drive events floor high market price pricing seeing short term though
Short term events like this which are unpredictable can drive a high price floor for crude prices. That is why we are seeing pricing in the high 50s even though the market is well supplied.
drive looks perfect prices storm
It looks like the perfect storm to drive prices up.
continues driven market morning price primarily upwards
This morning the price crept upwards so the market continues to be driven by the short-term geopolitical (pressures) primarily in Nigeria.
arabia call cut driver key output premium price promised provide risk since time
The geo-political risk premium and how it fluctuates is a key driver in the price of oil. Since the time Saudi Arabia objected to Iran's call to cut output and promised to provide more oil, the risk premium has declined.
appears decline due few floor high iranian issue keeping large past prices surprising
The pullback appears to be due to profit-taking, which is not surprising considering prices have really surged in the past few days. The decline will not be large because the Iranian issue is keeping a high floor under prices.
concerns fears focusing lingering market nigeria political upwards
With lingering concerns over Iran, Nigeria ... the market is correcting upwards because it is focusing on fears in the geo- political realm.
attracting elements floor high market
These elements will keep attracting speculative elements into the market and keep a high floor for crude.
concerned continuing crude draw driving gasoline inventory late market peak season starts stock summer
Crude inventory went up and the market is concerned about the continuing gasoline stock draw in the US market and the peak summer driving season that starts in late May.
arm becoming buy company decide listed perhaps rather
Perhaps one could surmise that they wanted the listed company to be more independent and decide what to buy on their own rather than becoming an arm of a state-owned company.
available capacity crude good
Even if there's available crude for release, if there's no refining capacity that they can use, what good is that?
council disruption issue near security supply takes term traders
Between now and when the U.N. Security Council actually takes up the issue there will be some saber-rattling, but in the near term traders know there won't be any disruption to supply from it.
disruption keeping supply threat traders
The threat to supply disruption is keeping traders edgy.
asset banks leverage physical trading
At the end of the day, physical asset acquisition is going to give banks more leverage over their trading positions.