Tony Crescenzi
Tony Crescenzi
believe bonds current decline economy economy-and-economics influence stock stocks
I believe the current decline in stocks could have a significant influence on the economy -- and hence, bonds -- if the stock decline is sustained.
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Because of the strong global economy, there is a safety net surrounding the U.S. economy -- so if it begins to slow, it won't slow much because there is tremendous support.
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While the results of the September jobs report are impressive and seem to suggest that the underlying strength in labor demand has been unaffected by recent events, the strength could well reflect the lagged effects of past strength in the economy and the data therefore provide much less guidance about the future than might seem obvious.
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The productivity advance will also serve as a powerful backstop for the U.S. dollar, as it creates an environment that is good for the rates of return on U.S. assets, especially compared to other countries where both productivity growth and economic growth are lower than in the U.S.,
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The market is of the mind-set that the economy might be poised to rebound, and that will take precedence above all else.
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The selling is modest and the market still has resilience to it.
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The signals coming from the bond market are significant and suggest that the anxieties in the markets are likely to dissipate,
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The rhetoric over the fiscal stimulus package heated up this weekend, reducing the likelihood of passage, ... In what may become a famous remark, President Bush said that Congress would 'raise taxes over my dead body.'
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Even Clint Eastwood could not have written a better script that would pit the bulls and the bears against each other over the meaning of today's payroll report, ... The winner, however, may not be known for a while longer since the data is sufficiently murky.
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There's some evidence that they may be shifting away from dollar reserves to other assets to try to diversify their reserves.
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The supply of bonds won't have a large bearing on the yield levels or the structure of the yield curve, ... The influence on interest rates will come more fundamental factors such as inflation expectations, competition for capital and monetary policy.
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Corporate bond investors seem relatively optimistic compared to a few months ago.
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Today's speech...is notable more for Greenspan's change in delivery than change in material,
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The Treasury tends to follow through with changes in new issuance when it forewarns of possible changes,