Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
bit comfort employment hot low quite rate remains running trend underlying wages
Wages are still running a bit hot for comfort, the jobless rate is still quite low and the underlying trend in employment (especially full-time) remains strong.
corporate inflation pricing remains virtually
Inflation in the U.S. remains virtually non-existent, as does corporate pricing power.
appears gradually healthy higher housing losing market mortgage remains steam weight
The U.S. housing market appears to be gradually losing steam under the weight of higher mortgage rates, ... Even so, the market remains exceptionally healthy by any yardstick.
clearly data demand domestic focus prime remains remarkably
Domestic demand remains remarkably strong, as the import data clearly indicate-a prime focus for the Fed,
consumers cooling due energy expect fourth growth higher pinch quarter remains remarkably spending spring
After a spring lull, consumers are back on track. While we do expect some cooling in the fourth quarter due to the pinch from higher energy prices, spending growth remains remarkably resilient.
alive chairman clearly core economy-and-economics greenspan inflation investors last major paradigm policy positive remains remarks reserve
Clearly the new paradigm is alive and well, ... While (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan downplayed the policy significance of CPI in his remarks last night, it is still a major positive for investors that core inflation remains benign.
consumer income percent remain remains spending suggesting trend
All in all, the year-over-year trend in income jumped to 6.1 percent from 5.4 percent, suggesting that consumer fundamentals remain very strong, ... Consumer spending remains on a tear.
eventually hike last likely next rate remain unwind view work
We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.
early seeing
What we're seeing is reminiscent of the early 1990s -- a jobless recovery.
action begin businesses capability certainly company data dramatic face larger percent seen serious small taken taking
What little data I've seen suggests that only about 25 percent of businesses have taken deliberate, serious action. And certainly the larger corporations would be the ones that would begin the process. Let's face it, a small company probably would not have the capability of taking very dramatic action.
expansion history longest worry
Worry not, the longest expansion in American history still has legs.
certainly continued deep doubt economy expect growth longer question recession shadow slower
There is no longer a shadow of doubt that the U.S. economy is downshifting rapidly; the only question is how deep the slowdown goes, ... We do not expect to see recession in 2001, but we certainly expect to see significantly slower growth with continued moderating inflation.
affected along caused damage deployed direct drag fleeting impact katrina massive might money offset prove provide suggest ultimate
This will provide some offset to the drag caused by the hurricane's direct damage and flooding, which, along with the massive amounts of money being deployed in the affected area, suggest that the ultimate impact of Katrina on GDP might prove more fleeting than first thought.
economy figure heading momentum production solid underlying
This production figure emphasizes that the US economy had solid underlying momentum heading into month-end,