Peter Greene
Peter Greene
Peter Greeneis an American character actor, generally known for playing villains. Peter lives in New York...
ProfessionMovie Actor
Date of Birth8 October 1965
CityMontclair, NJ
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The 2003 rally was on low interest rates and a weak dollar. Now, that's changed. The dollar bottomed in February, and I think people are realizing what higher rates are going to mean for the stock market.
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Today is a rotational shift into high tech and away from defensive sectors, which includes aerospace and defense.
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When there's a drop in crude prices, you tend to see it put into stocks with high multiples.
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I think it's going to continue to be a sideways market in August and into September. Seasonally, there's the tendency for selling, but as of now, there aren't any big events on tap that could take us a lot higher or a lot lower.
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Interactive games software, Midway Games, which made a new high yesterday,
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What's happening today is very telling of where the market is right now. Typically, when there is negative news people tend to make 'flight-to-safety' moves into bonds and gold, but that isn't happening. That tells me that asset classes in the near term are very tired, and that we could see more of a pull back from here over the next few months.
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The stock market is a discounting mechanism. Many people recently have seen their mortgages raised -- and many people have adjustable rate mortgages -- unfortunately they have been raised. Oil prices are at near highs. It impacts people's discretionary income. And I think we're seeing it in those stocks that would have a relationship to that discretionary income.
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The stock looks very attractive, and they have a potential cancer drug and a potential Alzheimer's drug,
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I see people getting more encouraged, ... We need more companies to announce things are going to get better in the third and fourth quarters -- but things are getting better.
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The rising influence of celebrities and the focus on entertaining among the Generation X set is a positive trend for the industry. There's plenty of opportunity ahead for manufacturers and retailers who recognize and leverage today's trends in entertaining.
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There's some worry that the economic growth won't be as strong as had been hoped and that's taking stocks lower, ... It's the combination of GDP not growing as fast as had been hoped, and the Dow Transports, which is a leading economic indicator, falling as well.
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There's incredible volatility at the end of a quarter and a lot of window dressing going on.
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Right now, the market is in a bit of a fog, as it's being pushed and pulled in different directions.
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Of the earnings this week, I'll be looking at GE. They're so broad-based in their business that what they have to say is going to be important.