Peter Cardillo
Peter Cardillo
1972 Harlem mosque incident describes the April 14, 1972 shooting of a New York City Police Departmentofficer at the Nation of Islam Mosque No. 7 in Harlem, Manhattan, New York City. The officer responded to a fake 9-1-1 call, was shot and died six days later. The incident sparked political and public outcry about mishandling of the incident by the NYPD and the administration of Mayor John V. Lindsay...
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Basically we had some good overseas trading. I think that is basically propelling us to a higher opening here. I just think the market is living with the fact that oil prices are trading around these levels, and it's getting a lift from the 10-year yield being below 4.60 percent.
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I think we're likely to remain in a broader trading range for the time being.
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From a technical standpoint, the fact that the market is testing the lower end of the trading range with low volume suggests the risk of the yearly lows being tested increases.
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Here is a classical story of a stock that is trading under book value. AT&T, the same thing. I believe it is up 4 or 5 points from its low and basically trying to stabilize at these levels, when it is all said and done, it still probably will be the leader of the pack. Again, a company selling under book value,
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I suspect the main focus of the day will be the Fed minutes. It looks like we'll get a strong start on the strength in overseas markets, but we'll probably be trading sideways until the minutes are released.
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Until we get the full force of earnings and economic data later in the week, I kind of expect us to remain at the lower end of the trading range,
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We're seeing some cautious trading right now, but the volume is decent, the momentum is on the upside and traditionally, this is a good week for the markets.
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Volume is likely to remain light the rest of this week, and I would expect the market to remain volatile Thursday, ... But there's good news out there, and over the next few weeks, I think we'll remain in this trading range but edge up toward the higher end of it.
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The fact that the market is continuing to stay at the upper end of the trading range, even with oil prices continuing to hover around their highs, is positive, it indicates investor confidence.
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I believe the worst of the decline in the 'old economy' stocks is over, ... and I think what we're seeing here is a consolidation phase, even though this consolidation phase is probably taking place at the lower end of the trading range. I don't believe that yesterday's decline in Nasdaq is the beginning of any major correction just yet. Now, that is not to say that we're not going to have a correction. Indeed, we are. But I just believe that there is sufficient money out there and sufficient demand for these tech stocks yet, and that is not going to disappear so quickly. What we saw yesterday was little profit-taking after a spectacular week.
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Investors should be out there, picking up some stocks that are trading near their lows or have bounced off their lows and I think that have good futures. And among them: AT&T ( T : Research , Estimates ) -- their wireless division came in on target, 25, 30 percent growth, and I think that's what is going to carry them. Stock is hovering around their lows here. I think it's a 'great buy.' And I think in the next market rally, that the stock will have a nice bounce.
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The Fed's choice to hold rates steady was no big surprise. People may have been using that as an excuse to sell at the top of a trading range. And we're probably going to be in a bit of a trading range until we get some new economic data that makes people want to move one way or the other.
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EBay came out with good numbers, but the outlook for the fourth quarter and next year wasn't so good, ... We're probably looking at a lower open, with a mixed trading session, as people respond to individual earnings and keep an eye on the price of oil.
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It's the tail end of the month, so the market is probably going to stay in a tight trading range, looking over the shoulder of the bond pit.