Michael Osterholm
Michael Osterholm
Michael T. Osterholm, Ph.D., M.P.H., is a prominent public health scientist and a nationally recognized biosecurity expert in the United States. Osterholm is the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policyat the University of Minnesota, a professor in the School of Public Health, and an adjunct professor in the University of Minnesota Medical School...
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To be able to move smallpox simply means to have a device within a writing ink pen that could very easily pass any customs officer, could easily pass through a metal detector, and you could have enough smallpox in there to start the world's worst epidemic.
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Farmers need to understand that their livelihood is at risk just because of what this would do to the world economy.
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The resources required to prepare adequately will be extensive, ... But they must be considered in the light of the cost of failing to invest: a global economy that remains in a shambles for several years.
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Ten years. I believe sometime in that period it will happen. But I couldn't tell you why.
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Don't emphasize what you can buy, emphasize what you can get your hands on. If it happens tonight, how do you deal with order?
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It doesn't matter if we have a vaccine now or not. We can't make it,
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I am convinced with the advent of an early winter in the Northern Hemisphere in just six short months, we will see a resurgence of SARS that could far exceed our experience to date,
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If this projection is correct, we have every reason to believe that this disease may show up in multiple U.S. cities as we continue to travel around the world in unprecedented numbers and speed.
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What we are really attempting to do here is make sure you have antibody defense after you stop the antibiotics, ... Should one of those dormant spores come around, we can then take care of it.
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What happens in China is of real concern to us. Most of us have been quite surprised that there has not been some evidence of human disease in China and we always worry if that is a function of transparency or the cases just aren't there. We just don't know. And the doubts are troubling.
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There clearly have been ongoing changes in the virus itself, and what that means in terms of its adapting to different bird species or its ability to infect other bird species is unclear, but it may have played a role.
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The good news is we can make a vaccine. The bad news, it's not going to prevent a pandemic in the next 12 to 18 months.
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While the numbers in the study are very small, the resistance and clinical failures here are very important. Resistance could mean the difference between surviving and not surviving.
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We believe the avian situation we currently have in Southeast Asia is a perfect set-up for this virus to mutate into a human-to-human transmitted agent, which is a big problem and could lead this to be the next pandemic, ... We also have to keep an eye on other viruses.