Michael Fitzpatrick
Michael Fitzpatrick
Singer best known as the frontman for the soul-pop band Fitz and the Tantrums. The band's debut LP, Pickin' Up the Pieces, hit number one on the Billboard Heatseekers chart in 2010.
ProfessionSoul Singer
Date of Birth21 July 1970
CityMontlucon, France
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Repairs are proceeding apace. Discretionary driving can be cut back but you have got to heat your house. Heating oil will soon lead the market.
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Last year began with a large surplus but an unusually hot summer ate up those reserves and soon thereafter the hurricanes hit. There is still some infrastructure that was damaged, which could be a problem.
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The mild weather and contracting demand are continuing to send us lower. Crude oil will soon test $56 and the products $1.50.
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Even in a bull market you get periods of a little relief, and this is one of them. Some of the Iranian words today were conciliatory. In reality nothing has changed and the market will soon rise again.
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The Governor of Nigeria doesn't think that militants are set to attack again soon and that has apparently prompted a little profit taking in front of tomorrow's reports.
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The conclusion is probably being made that any surplus will be promptly sopped up as soon as seasonal demand kicks in.
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We shift back and fourth between a focus on supply versus the world situation. Today we are focused on supply because of tomorrow's report.
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The real dichotomy in this market is that crude inventories are very high and that could make for some violent, back-and-forth price action. For the foreseeable future, the path of least resistance remains up until there is a significant structural economic or political shift.
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Relatively moderate weather, ample supplies and an escalation in the dispute over Iran's nuclear program should make for another week of high volatility. Absent geopolitical uncertainty, prices should be moving lower.
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It is apparently going to take more than growing inventories to turn prices seriously lower.
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While a late-winter cold snap or cool spring could whittle down some of the storage surplus, it is probably too late to prevent stocks from ending the heating season at record-high levels.
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We are in a waiting pattern until the numbers are released. The conditions that brought us to these levels remain, so we may resume our move higher once the report is digested.
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It's high noon at the Security Council. Prices will rise because tensions are high. Iran has said that it would not specifically use oil as a weapon but now they are changing their tune.
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Despite a weekend blizzard in the Northeast and an oversold market after a 16% sliding the last six sessions, record high levels of gas in storage would temper any buying even if the weather stays cold.