Michael Farr
Michael Farr
Michael Farris a British expert on the comic series The Adventures of Tintin and its creator, Hergé. He has written several books on the subject as well as translating several others into English. A former reporter, he has also written about other subjects...
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An earnings boost doesn't trump a contrary verdict.
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The post-Labor Day rally, I wasn't sold on. The fact that we didn't really crash over summer, I thought was a terrific blessing. I think sentiment is going to drive the market from here. The numbers are there, the numbers have not changed. The economy has not changed, it is still good, slowing down a little bit. We've got a nice stable platform. Earnings for second quarter were fabulous. They ought to be pretty good, I think, coming in here to the third quarter.
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owned it for some time. We've liked Bank One ( ONE ) for some time. They've been kind of murky in terms of guidance. Management has made some analysts nervous. But we think that the values are certainly there. Earnings growth is there. So, Bank One would be one of ours, too.
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They've got a huge market share, ... They're the industry leader. American Power Conversion is growing earnings at about 18 percent.
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They are earning a lot of money, ... They've got great products, and they are going to get through all of this noise with the government.
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I think you're getting a bit of a safe haven -- stocks with earnings look good. If money is coming out of the Nasdaq, it is going into Dow stocks.
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I think the economy is recovering and we won't get into a double dip. But trying to forecast when that economic strength shows up in earnings is a kind of fool's game. We've been playing it for about two-and-a -half years now,
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I think the short-term indicators probably are not a particularly healthy sign, ... Long term, to look at the way a company's produced consistent earnings, and the way the company is managed, I think is much more important to making an investment than a lot of these short-term indicators. But, in a bull market, there's no such thing as bad news. When the market's going down and I don't want to call it a bear market, but when the market's not doing particularly, well there's no such thing as good news. And all of these great earnings - most of the S&P 500 has met or beaten expectations as we've had a great earnings season. And the market doesn't really seem to care. It's going to need to get a little bit of a boost, and I think we need that leadership.
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I'm buying EMC. I think it's been killed. I think it's a leader in the storage industry. The stock has 30 times earnings, growing the earnings 25 percent.
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I like Citigroup as a nice core holding. It's a big money-center bank. They do have some exposure, of course, to Salomon Smith Barney in the brokerage industry, ... This stock has pulled back in here, $44.95 a share. I think that it's going to grow those earnings at around 14 percent -- 11 times and 12 times earnings, that's a cheap stock.
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These guys are the top operator in that industry, ... And certainly, with the Baby Boomers aging, people living longer, the advances in science and health care, we think that Sunrise Assisted Living is doing a great job growing their earnings and the stock price looks good to us for the long term.
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These are two very different stocks, ... Merck is one of the premier pharmaceutical companies in the world. It's selling at 18 times next year's estimates.
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Will the Fed keep raising rates until the yield curve's inverted? There's not much margin for error here,
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Poor J.P. Morgan. The company has got nailed on everything from Enron to Argentina and bad loans, ... But if we see the economy recover, the financial services will do well.