Lynn Reaser
Lynn Reaser
benign economy-and-economics inflation mode number shows
This number shows that inflation is in a benign mode for the U.S. economy.
basically benign economic growth optimal present solid
We have basically an optimal present economic situation, with solid growth and benign inflation.
although auto behavior definitely depend economic future increase march minutes policy seems statement steps view
They are definitely off auto pilot. Although another increase at the end of March seems likely, the statement in the minutes reinforces the view that future policy steps will depend more on the behavior of economic statistics.
economic rather reaction trend
Ascertain a trend rather than a reaction ? try not to read too much into economic numbers,
almost attention economic equal four individual months noise pay reports takes tend three trend underlying
They (investors) tend to overreact to individual economic reports which may be more statistical noise than an underlying trend which takes three to four months to develop, ... They tend to pay equal attention to almost any report that is relevant, and some are more significant than others.
almost continuing economy economy-and-economics firing resilience seen time
The economy was firing on almost all cylinders. It is continuing to show the resilience we've seen time and time again.
appears economy economy-and-economics expand half likely pace percent remains second solid
The economy remains very solid and it appears likely to expand at a pace of 4-1/2 percent to 5 percent in the second half of the year.
affecting certainly consumer continued economy-and-economics energy higher increase job level market prevent prices psychology relative spending strength underlying
The higher level of energy prices is certainly affecting the psychology of consumers. But the underlying strength of the economy, and the continued increase in the relative strength of the underlying job market should prevent consumer spending from collapsing.
change deployed expect fed funds increase rate recent tactics target
We expect the 12th consecutive increase in the target fed funds rate and really no change in the tactics deployed in recent meetings.
allow economy growth news next positive recession stimulus track
We don't think we are going to have another recession ... We think there is enough stimulus in the pipeline, enough positive news in there to allow the economy to keep on a growth track for the next year.
additional concerns consumer economy faces interest jeopardize market primary profit rate rebound renew slow spending stock stocks stoke strong
The stock market now faces two primary risks. First, the economy could slow too much, which would jeopardize profit performance. Second, a strong rebound in stocks could stoke consumer spending and renew concerns about overheating and additional interest rate hikes.
concern earlier economy hold issue whether
Earlier in the summer, the big concern was accounting, but the issue now is whether the economy is going to hold up,
conclude deal easier economy energy great higher level likely lower moving oil prices rebuilding resilience showing starting stick
Right now we're already starting to see that rebuilding is under way and energy prices are moving lower so that makes it easier for them to stick to their strategy. They will likely conclude that the economy is showing a great deal of resilience and that it is able to withstand a higher level of oil prices.
close peak
We could very much be close to the peak at this time.