Lynn Franco
Lynn Franco
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While the latest signals suggest that U.S. economic activity should decelerate in coming months, consumers are not expecting this record-breaking economic expansion to end any time soon.
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As the economic ramifications of Sept. 11 continue to reverberate in the coming weeks and months, and the number of layoffs continues to rise, the economy faces tougher times ahead. While consumers have managed to keep the U.S. out of a recession for several years now, that soon may no longer be the case.
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Consumers' upbeat mood about current business and labor conditions underscores the economy's continuing recovery, but the latest retreat in expectations suggest that the pace of economic growth will not accelerate in the months ahead,
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Despite sluggish economic conditions and almost non-stop layoff announcements, consumers are cautiously optimistic that the economy will rebound later this year,
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Barring an unforeseen shock, we would expect consumer confidence to continue to hover around current levels, indicating continued economic growth.
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The nine-point drop in consumer confidence over the last two months underscores an anxiety about future economic conditions.
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Consumers' confidence has been bolstered by the improvement in business and labor market conditions, ... The latest gains are striking. This new boom in confidence should translate into increased consumer spending and stronger economic growth ahead.
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While overall confidence remains relatively positive, the latest reading reflects growing concerns that U.S. economic growth may be slowing down. And, while the outlook for corporate profits remains optimistic, rising interest rates and oil prices may curb business leaders' projections.
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The level of optimism does not suggest a dramatic acceleration in economic growth during the first half of 2003.
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The economic outlook is becoming increasingly pessimistic, with consumer sentiment continuing to fall.
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The continued decline in the Present Situation Index suggests that consumers would tend to curb their spending in the absence of offsetting incentives, ... a significant deterioration in consumer attitudes.
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The lack of improvement in labor market conditions continues to dampen consumers' spirits, ... Despite September's retreat, consumers remain cautiously optimistic about the outlook for the next six months. Consumer spending is likely to continue at or near current levels.
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While the purchasing intentions of consumers have not changed and remain quite upbeat, it remains to be seen whether these current attitudes translate into actual purchases.
bargains begun below boost consumers despite driven gas holiday latest leap prices remains shock spending time wearing
While the Index remains below its pre-Katrina levels, the shock of the hurricanes and subsequent leap in gas prices has begun wearing off just in time for the holiday season. Despite this latest boost in confidence, holiday spending will be driven by the bargains consumers have come to expect.