Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila is a weather forecaster with the National Hurricane Center. He has been a senior hurricane specialist there since 1987 and is the longest-tenured senior specialist...
longer stays worst
The longer it stays down there the worst it will be for them.
best bottom cases coasts five florida forecast georgia likely line next northern option southeast
The best option in these cases ... is to forecast little motion. The bottom line is that Ophelia will likely meander just off the northern Florida and southeast Georgia coasts for the next five days.
caribbean kept october patience systems telling time
They kept telling me you have to have patience, ... Systems in the Caribbean in October take a long time to develop.
disaster eye large powerful scenario wherever
This is a very large hurricane, a very powerful hurricane. Wherever you have the eye of this system, you are going to have a potentially catastrophic disaster there. This is the worst-case scenario for a hurricane.
die hope wrong
I hope we're wrong and (Zeta) will die sooner.
hope
I hope there will be no more surprises.
closer computer earlier farther last model models reliable runs storm tracking west
The last suite of model runs we had today, most of the reliable computer models all have the storm tracking farther west than the earlier runs and have the track closer to New Orleans.
affect land
We don't think it's going to affect land.
believe drop expected mind nobody
First of all, I could not believe it, ... Nobody in their right mind would have expected this drop in pressure.
forecast hurricane next within
Ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane within the next 12 hours.
correspond hurricane strength system value
Normally, this value would correspond to a system of hurricane strength.
develop eastern force forecast pattern strong toward united westward
Then, a strong high-pressure ridge is forecast to develop over the eastern United States. This pattern would force Ophelia westward and west-northwestward toward the US coast.
cat ready
That?s why we tell you, if it's a Cat 2, get ready for a Cat 3.
happened middle wish
Let's put it this way, ... I wish it could have happened in the middle of the ocean.