Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
Larry Sabato quotes about
race reason
Warner is the reason this race is essentially tied,
again both expect freely indiana media parties protracted race southern spending
Expect this protracted race to get down and dirty, with both parties yet again spending freely in Southern Indiana media markets.
came ground possibly race sorrow state summer zero
It should have been a blow-away. It wasn't just any congressional race ? it was a race during Bush's summer of sorrow and it came in a state that was ground zero for '04 and possibly will be for '08.
nasty possible races worst
It's awful. These two races are the worst possible combination ? nasty and dull. It doesn't get any worse.
either poll previous race tight
The only thing I take from this poll and the two previous ones is that the race is as tight as a tick. It can go either way.
belly bet both congress contest davis early fire freshman label leg lucas opponent party personal popularity race republican seek serve succeed tie
To have a chance, Lucas must both demonstrate he still has the fire in the belly to serve in Congress and succeed in making this race as much of a personal popularity contest as it can be. Still, you can bet Davis will seek to tie his opponent to his party label at every turn, and we give the freshman Republican an early leg up.
accept came certain ground impressive possibly race reality sorrow state summer zero
At a certain point, you have to accept reality, and it's an impressive reality. It should have been a blow-away. It wasn't just any congressional race - it was a race during Bush's summer of sorrow and it came in a state that was ground zero for '04 and possibly will be for '08.
expensive incumbent race
This is going to be a very expensive race between an incumbent and a quasi-incumbent.
ask asking difficult general loss mention race record virginia winning
This is going to be a very difficult race just to get the nomination, not to mention winning the general election. The alternative is that he could practically ask for the Virginia governorship in 2009 and have it; his for the asking if he doesn't have a loss on his record in 2008.
bragging gains indicator party races rights seat truth
Off-year races are used for bragging rights by the party that gains a seat or two, but the truth is, they are only sometimes an indicator of the future.
faithful party races shore sure turn
They shore up the party base, making sure that the faithful turn out, and they show that they think the races are important, which sometimes they aren't.
reality race media
The national media will talk about (national problems) because it's something that everyone in all 50 states can understand, but the reality is these are minor factors. These are local races. ... The issues tend to be less ideological than for Senate races or races for president. ... It's about potholes and streetlights.
almost candidates leading mccain past polls seen six state
I've probably seen 200-plus state polls over the past six months, and McCain is leading almost everywhere, and where he doesn't lead, Rudy Giuliani is ahead. All the other candidates are just footnotes.
message opportunity popularity send sixth stays voters year
The sixth year of a two-term president's administration is typically an opportunity for voters to send a message. It's not going to be a pretty message for Bush, if his popularity stays this low.