Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
cause feels next obligated problems
It does cause problems for successors. Then the next person feels obligated to do the same thing.
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When you're worth a couple hundred million it's less of a problem than most people.
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But his greatest problem is that it is hard to see him as offering voters anything other than George W. Bush's third term. And even Bush Republicans realize that the American people don't want that.
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That is a major problem for President Bush and the Republicans. The Democrats are bound to benefit from it in the mid-term elections of 2006. The question is, to what degree?
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It's been a very successful term. It's hard to describe it any other way. He came in at a tough time. There was no money. The Republicans had just taken a landslide in the legislature. Things didn't look good. But he worked through the problems and ended up triumphant. It's a storybook ending. I didn't see that coming. Frequently these businessmen governors who've never been elected to anything before, flop. So he's the exception.
both charge convince gets needs people problem stylistic
This is both a substantive and a stylistic problem for Bush. Stylistically, he needs to convince people that he is in charge now and he gets it now .
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The only thing we can be sure of is that the party that wins will exaggerate the results, and the party that loses will downplay the results.
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When people hear the word 'pardon,' they think back to Gerald Ford pardoning Nixon in September 1974. That decision alone cost Ford a four-year term as president. This is as big as it gets.
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Why risk his excellent relationship with the current and future junior senator of Nevada to score some points with a few party activists? He's being practical. Successful public people are always practical.
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Very worried, ... They really are in danger of losing a substantial number of seats in Congress and, more importantly, key governorships in 2006.
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At this point, nothing President Bush says is going to have much impact. The only thing that is going to change public opinion is an improvement in the situation on the ground in Iraq.
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Yes, Virginia voters will approve the amendment when asked, probably handily. After all, it gives them the right to re-elect a governor they like. They can still send packing a governor they dislike.
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Expect this protracted race to get down and dirty, with both parties yet again spending freely in Southern Indiana media markets.
good
But right now, he is not in a good position. That we know.