Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
either poll previous race tight
The only thing I take from this poll and the two previous ones is that the race is as tight as a tick. It can go either way.
almost candidates leading mccain past polls seen six state
I've probably seen 200-plus state polls over the past six months, and McCain is leading almost everywhere, and where he doesn't lead, Rudy Giuliani is ahead. All the other candidates are just footnotes.
bush confidence democrats policy polls score
If you look at the polls carefully, they show that Americans are disaffected with the Bush administration policy in Iraq, but have very little confidence in the Democrats on that score either.
cindy iraq poll protest
He bottomed out on Iraq even before Cindy Sheehan's protest started. Look at the poll numbers, Americans have been increasingly disaffected.
exaggerate loses party sure wins
The only thing we can be sure of is that the party that wins will exaggerate the results, and the party that loses will downplay the results.
alone cost decision ford hear nixon people september term word
When people hear the word 'pardon,' they think back to Gerald Ford pardoning Nixon in September 1974. That decision alone cost Ford a four-year term as president. This is as big as it gets.
current excellent few future junior nevada party people points public relationship risk score senator successful
Why risk his excellent relationship with the current and future junior senator of Nevada to score some points with a few party activists? He's being practical. Successful public people are always practical.
congress danger key losing number seats
Very worried, ... They really are in danger of losing a substantial number of seats in Congress and, more importantly, key governorships in 2006.
bush change ground improvement opinion president public says situation
At this point, nothing President Bush says is going to have much impact. The only thing that is going to change public opinion is an improvement in the situation on the ground in Iraq.
amendment approve gives governor packing send virginia voters
Yes, Virginia voters will approve the amendment when asked, probably handily. After all, it gives them the right to re-elect a governor they like. They can still send packing a governor they dislike.
again both expect freely indiana media parties protracted race southern spending
Expect this protracted race to get down and dirty, with both parties yet again spending freely in Southern Indiana media markets.
good
But right now, he is not in a good position. That we know.
adds appearance beginning chaos publicity
This thing is beginning to look more and more like a publicity stunt. It just adds to the appearance of chaos and uncertainty.
ceremonies
Virginians, like the British, did ceremonies very well. No one ever did anything inappropriate.